presidentiable VP Jojo Binay’s survey ratings continue to fall for a second consecutive quarter. in this Pulse Asia survey to 26% in the November 2014 survey from 31% in the previous survey, a 5% point drop. this should worry Binay and his advisers as it makes the possibility of losing the 2016 election a bigger reality.
he is still number 1 in the survey but that is practically meaningless as for surveys like these, the trend is much more important and meaningful than the actual rating for the period. the question being asked in this survey is something like “if elections were held today, who will you elect as president?”, thus the answer respondents are giving are relevant to the current time only when the survey was conducted.
the election is still in 2016, at least 5 quarters to go of surveys (surveys are conducted on a quarterly basis) and that means changes to the ratings and rankings will happen depending on developments in the country and the actions of the presidentiables. the changes will be dramatic with those initially ahead in the surveys early on dropping down, even to levels where they eventually lose the election. we saw this in the most recent presidential election in 2010 when at the start of the election period, senator Manny Villar was way ahead of everyone but eventually dropped to number 3 or 4 by election time when he was besieged with corruption charges and mismanaged its handling.
the drop in the most recent survey for Binay is an indication that the things he has been doing during the time from the previous survey to this one have not been working for Binay. Binay continued to be on a Binayfication strategy where he continue to ignore the corruption charges and allegations, refusing to directly answer them, to deny or confirm any of it and to offer evidence that prove they are false.
under the Binayfication strategy is his refusal to attend the senate hearing. the senate sub-committee that has been conducting the hearings on the over-pricing of the Makati parking building has repeatedly and in public told Binay there is an open invitation for him to attend the hearing. Binay on his part has also repeatedly refused to attend the hearings giving a lot of silly reasons. then at some point, for a reason only he and his advisers know, Binay said he will only attend the senate hearing if the mother committee in the senate invites him.
well, the mother committee through the committee chair, senator Guingona, extended an invitation to the vice president. the senate even went to the extent of assigning a date and time. and on the appointed time and date, the senate set up a table, chair, a microphone, a name plate and even a glass of water in the middle of the place where the hearings are being conducted. it was a surreal scene as the media took pictures and showed live TV footage of the empty chair. Binay demanded the mother committee give him an invitation, it did but he did not show up.
there were new and additional corruption charges and allegations made during the period. but the other telling development under the Binayfication strategy was the debate with senator Trillanes. the same thing happened here – Binay challenged senator Trillanes to a debate on the corruption issues. after a bit of time, Trillanes agreed and accepted the debate challenge. staff from both sides started to meet to discuss the debate and like the one above, a date and time was set. then, all of a sudden and something that it appears none of his staff and advisers did not know about, Binay announced he will not debate with Trillanes.
the drop in the most recent survey may be attributed to the Binayfication strategy – it is not working and it is not able to arrest the decline in the ratings of Binay. rather than helping him, Binay continue to lose supporters.
looking at the specifics of the survey results, to us the most telling and the one that should concern Binay the most are his ratings in Luzon, and among the upper class (ABC) and the lower class, D.
the drops in Binay’s ratings are across the board – all areas and all socio-eco classes. but the drop in the Luzon rating is dramatic and stands out – it is now exactly one half of what it was in march, 2014. it is a dramatic decline to 22% from 44% in march, a huge -22% point loss.
similar dramatic declines occurred among the ABC and D socio-eco class. the upper and middle class saw an even bigger degradation – dropping -30% points to now just 17% from 47%. the D saw a -16% point shrinkage to 26% from 42%. losing your base support from these groups is a nightmare for any election campaign. this is an exodus of supporters from the thinking class and the poor.
the election is still 5 quarters away, Binay can still recover with still a lot of things he can do during that time. what he wants is to do things that will reverse what may be the beginning of a declining trend. he and his advisers should realize Binayfication is not working, something else needs to be done.
question is – does Binay have the smarts, the will power and the good things in him to abandon the Binayfication strategy and pursue another strategy, like the Truth Strategy?
first off, we are NOT inventing any of these. these are all real and published by Philippine media. we have here statements from two of the four spokespersons of VP BInay – Gov Jonvic Remilla and Rep Toby Tiangco and daughter of the VP, Senator Nancy Binay.
a fourth one is from VP Binay himself.
each one gave a different explanation for the withdrawal from the debate by VP Binay. nothing matches, not even remotely. not even his two spokespersons, Remulla and Tiangco had the same story and explanation. having things like this one is strange to have in presidential campaign.
Binay camp: Debate with Trillanes a ‘disservice’ to ‘Yolanda’ survivors
MANILA, Philippines – A spokesperson of Vice President Jejomar Binay said Tuesday that the vice president cancelled the scheduled November 27 debate with Senator Antonio Trillanes IV upon realizing that it is a “disservice” to the survivors of Super Typhoon “Yolanda.”
Cavite governor and Binay’s spokesperson on political affairs Jonvic Remulla said that the vice president is prioritizing “recovery over bickering.”
“The Vice President realized that engaging a debate with Senator Trillanes is a disservice to the millions who still have to recover from the Yolanda tragedy. Now is not the time for talk but for action. The Vice President is prioritizing the country over self, recovery over bickering, the people over himself,” Remulla said in a statement.
It’s ‘answered prayer,’ says Nancy Binay
It’s a welcome relief for the Binay family, says the senator
MANILA, Philippines – Senator Nancy Binay said she is relieved that her father,Vice President Jejomar Binay, backed out of the debate with Senator Antonio Trillanes IV.
“This is an answered prayer and a welcome relief for the family, although we expect that our detractors will continue to gloat [over] the situation,” she said in a statement on Tuesday, November 11.
“In the light of early attempts to set the stage for the upcoming event as unfavorably biased for Vice President Jejomar Binay, we respect the Vice President’s decision to beg off from the scheduled debate,” she added.
Senator Binay was against the debate from the time it was proposed. “Medyo hindi rin ako sang-ayon sa debate. Sa unang statement ko nga (I’m not in favor of the debate. Like I said in my first statement), why should he stoop down to the level of Senator Trillanes?” she told reporters on Monday. (READ: Nancy Binay: VP ‘real underdog’ in debate with Trillanes)
Trillanes is among 3 senators leading a probe into allegedly overpriced infrastructure projects that Binay initiated when he was mayor of Makati City.
Saying he’s been prejudged, Binay refused to attend the subcommittee hearings. His camp later challenged Trillanes to a one-on-one debate, which Trillanes accepted.
The Vice President also snubbed the invitation of the Senate Blue Ribbon committee to answer allegations raised in the subcommittee. – Carmela Fonbuena/Rappler.com
Tiangco: People want to see Binay work, not debate
UNA official elated over VP’s decision to back out of debate
MANILA – United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) interim president Toby Tiangco was elated upon learning that Vice President Jejomar Binay has backed out of a debate with Senator Antonio Trillanes IV.
Speaking to ANC, Tiangco said he was surprised to hear that Binay changed his mind about engaging Trillanes in a debate.
He said he talked to Binay on Monday and the Vice President was keen on pushing through with the debate.
He said a meeting with the Kapisanan ng mga Brodkaster ng Pilipinas (KBP) was also scheduled today.
Tiangco is happy with the Vice President’s decision, noting that he has always been vocal about his opposition to the debate.
“Magkausap pa kami kagabi ng mga 9:30 [pm], wala naman siyang sinasabi na magba-back out siya dun sa debate. But of course, I will not hide my happiness… Alam niyo naman na very vocal ako against the debate,” he said.
“Ako natutuwa kung hindi matutuloy because I already explained that people didn’t vote for the vice president to defend himself. Ang gusto nila makita yung bise presidente na nagtatrabaho,” he added.
Binay backs out of debate with Trillanes
MANILA, Philippines—Vice President Jejomar Binay has backed out from his scheduled public debate with Senator Antonio Trillanes IV, saying he does not want to appear “oppressive and opportunistic.”
Binay made the announcement during his 72nd birthday celebration at the Philippine Marines headquarters in Fort Bonifacio, Taguig.
“It’s final, it’s final. My decision won’t change,” Binay said in Filipino during an interview aired on radio.
Binay explained that he doesn’t want to look like he is taking advantage of Trillanes, who is not a lawyer unlike him.
“Ang dahilan ko mga kababayan e dahil sa marami na akong naririnig na ako ay ganito…ako ay mahusay, ako ay naging debater, ako ay abogado, e sobra na ‘tong mga sinabi niyang ganyan na kumpirmadong sinabi niya, e ayaw ko naman hong maging..ang pagkakalilala niyo sa aking mga kababayan ay mapang-api, mapagsamantala…so tama na po ‘yun,” he said.
(The reason why I am withdrawing is I have heard comments that I am already a good and experienced debater that comes with my being a lawyer. He has also been saying things as if they were already confirmed. I don’t want to appear oppressive and opportunistic, so I am backing out.)
~~~work in progress~~~
VP Binay withdraws from debate with Trillanes, Senator Nancy deep in thought on what to say about it
this news was all the rage today in social media. VP Binay challenged Senator Trillanes to a debate, Trillanes accepted, Binay and Trillanes camps sit down with the KBP to discuss the debate then today, Binay withdraws from the debate.
social media exploded with tweets on what just happened. these are just a few:
there will be a lot more reactions to this political event. we are particularly interested on what Senator Nancy Binay, VP Binay’s daughter has to say about it.
and we are also interested what VP Binay’s quadro spokespersons Gov Remulla, Rep Tiangco, Atty Bautista and Salgado has to say.
for the record, VP Binay was first to challenge Trillanes to a debate :
true story – we were shocked when we saw that cover of Esquire Philippines for its November 2014 issue. to calm down my heart which was in complete disbelief, we shifted from coffee to apple juice. it was after all still early in the morning. we wanted to give our heart some reprieve this early Friday morning.
then, it dawned on us – wait, this might be a hoax. this might not be the real cover of Esquire Philippines’ November 2014 issue. Esquire we thought does not have bad taste and certainly not this bad. so for another half hour, we searched the internet to find out what is exactly the November issue cover.
it was not easy to find but we eventually found out that yup, this is the real cover of the November issue. see for yourself here : https://www.facebook.com/EsquirePh/photos/pb.183140925069879.-2207520000.1415326861./827886413928657/?type=1&theater
after having it confirmed for sure that that is the cover, here is why we were shocked by the cover:
no, the shock is not that the choice for the cover article is Mar Roxas. we will not pass judgement on that editorial decision of the magazine.
but we are passing judgement on is the editorial choice of the photo of Mar Roxas. we are very sure there were dozens of photos taken of him for the cover and in fact before that there should have been an editorial meeting on what kind of cover photo should be taken and what choices will be made eventually.
what we were shocked about is the choice of this particular photo of Roxas on the cover of the magazine. the choice stinks. and it puts the DILG secretary on a very, very unflattering pose and look. that made us wonder out aloud – is Esquire Magazine insulting Mar Roxas, an almost sure thing presidential candidate to the 2016 elections? did they lampoon the possibly next president of the country?
look at the photo :
- Roxas has a sheepish almost grade school smile on his face. it’s not a smile of an adult and an adult who is the secretary of the DILG and possibly the next president of the Philippines
- his hair is unkempt and not brushed, like he just woke up in the morning and immediately went down from his hotel room for the shoot before he took a bath and brushed his hair
- and that wave – what is that? is that like a Miss Universe beauty queen wave?
- not only that, why the heck is Roxas waiving to the audience? what is the message here, what is the point? why is he saying hello? or why is Roxas giving a Miss Universe beauty queen wave? we could not find a sensible reason. we think the wave is the worst in this photo.
- okay, we get the background – these are construction materials and some delivery van which we get means Roxas is on the rehabilitation of Tacloban which is the status of the city. we get the message but is this the best way to deliver that message?
- and why on earth are there 3 people standing on the background? the photographer and producers of Esquire Magazine were not able to ask them to move out of the shot even for 5 minutes?
- very minor, but why is he holding a cellphone?
on the over-all and even on specifics that cover photo sucks! it does not present the subject in a flattering look and pose, something you usually want for a cover photo. and the pose does not make sense at all, plus the production values suck.
Esquire is a men’s fashion magazine cum intellectual magazine, it is stylish and of substance. none of that is reflected on the choice of this cover photo. the magazine on the top left of it describes itself as “Man at its best”. in this photo, they presented Mar Roxas, a man, a DILG secretary of the country and possibly the next president of the country not “at its best” but at “its silliest”.
we can’t help it, we are drawn to it like gravity will pull down something that is up in the air, our conclusion is this – Esquire Philippines lampooned Mar Roxas.
the same Esquire Philippines magazine cover is apparently getting a lot of attention in social media and is on the Philippine Daily Inquirer website:
Mar Roxas gets social media flak for magazine cover
MANILA, Philippines — What about Interior Secretary Manuel “Mar” Roxas saying hello from Tacloban got netizens irked?
Roxas received flak on social media after he was featured on the cover of “Esquire Philippines” magazine commemorating the first anniversary of Supertyphoon “Yolanda” (international name: Haiyan).
The official Facebook account of Esquire shared the photo of its cover featuring a smiling and gentle Roxas, whose right hand was raised in a greeting while sitting on a pile of cut wood behind a cargo truck.
The caption of the photo reads: “Hello from Tacloban… One year later.” Roxas’ smiling photo was taken about a year ago or on November 21, 2013, at the Tacloban City Port.
Some netizens called the photo “insensitive,” in “bad taste,” and an “insult” to the typhoon victims. Still, others noted a hint of sarcasm, a sense of a story, and even a note of hope.
“Esquire this is really done in bad taste. Give respect to the people of Tacloban,” commented Joseph Ongkeko Delos Reyes.
“Bad move. How about putting the pictures of those who survived the disaster?” Dee Ferraris Necèsito pointed out.
update on this one, as of November 9, 2014, 6:48 pm.
we did not know these things before we published this post:
a PDI article says that this picture of Mar Roxas was taken last year and not recently as we would think it would be since this is the cover of the November 2014 issue.
a Rappler.com article says Mar Roxas DID NOT grant an interview with the magazine for the article. it also said the article on Mar Roxas was written by Boo Chanco, a columnist from a newspaper.
note that we have not read the article itself, we just saw the cover photo on the website of Esquire Philippines.
given those two things from PDI and Rappler.com it looks like we were right that this article lampoons Roxas. it is meant to mock or put him in a bad light. that explains very well why the choice for the cover photo was really a terrible photo of him. from the point of view of cover photos, they usually flatter the subject but from the context of mocking and lampooning the subject matter, Roxas, choosing a bad picture of the subject is the correct editorial decision. the choice is meant to disrespect Roxas.
our instinct, well okay our suspicion based on that horrible picture was right.
question – did you dislike roxas after you saw this?
we have been posting comments on this at Facebook, please read here : https://www.facebook.cothis one m/wawam.blogs
one of the things we posted:
we do not think this article was a PR effort for Roxas. it was reported that Roxas did not grant an interview for the article. if it was a PR effort for him, he would certainly give an interview. not only will he give an interview, he would have a say on the cover photo and for sure this is not a photo he will agree to.
we also did a scan of Esquire covers for the Philippines and the USA magazines. all of the cover photos i saw are of 1 person, almost all are studio shots, glamour shots and high concept. none of that is in the Roxas cover photo. this one is very different from the rest can mean something happened on this one.
there is more to this :
posted November 10, 2014, morning.
many netizens were hating on Mar Roxas because Roxas appeared on the cover of the magazine on Yolanda and Tacloban. many of the netizens thought this was a PR effort for Roxas, something that the camp of Roxas has engineered for him to appear at the magazine to promote himself for the elections. as we said previously, we were not concerned on the choice of the magazine to feature Roxas on it. we were reacting just to the photo choice of the magazine and even at the start we thought this was a lampoon of Roxas given the terrible photo choice. in other words, we did not think this was a PR effort for Roxas. on the contrary, we thought this was meant to mock Roxas. it is some kind of a demolition job on him.
last night, we saw boo chanco, author of the article at the magazine post at Facebook the message above – the article was not a PR effort for Roxas.
this also appeared at the PDI internet edition last night:
Magazine denies endorsing Roxas on cover of ‘Yolanda’ anniversary issue
MANILA, Philippines—After receiving backlash from netizens by featuring a smiling Interior Secretary Manuel “Mar” Roxas II on its cover, Esquire Philippines denied that they are endorsing the secretary, saying that he is just “a symbol of national government response.”
“Secretary Mar Roxas is on the cover as a symbol of the national government response. Nothing less or more. We were certainly not paid or persuaded to put him on the cover,” Esquire Philippines said in a post on its official Facebook account Sunday.
Roxas is said to be the leading candidate of the administration’s Liberal Party for the 2016 presidential polls.
Esquire Philippines said that its November issue, which commemorates the first anniversary of the onslaught of Super Typhoon “Yolanda” (Haiyan), is dedicated to dignify the “memory of those lost, and the pain of those left behind in Tacloban City.”
“We at Esquire Philippines will always dignify the memory of those lost, and the pain of those left behind in Tacloban City. Our November issue is dedicated to that purpose.”
“In the issue itself, our writers and photographers revisit Tacloban in order to gather and present the very human tragedies that are still ongoing one year after Yolanda, as well as sift the facts regarding the government’s response,” the magazine said.
there are a few things on that explanation by Esquire :
- how is Roxas the “symbol of the national government response”? and in that kind of a pose with a “hello” wave? what kind of symbolism is that? we have not read the article but we hope this was explained in the article. but surely the photo they chose does not seem to speak of any symbolism of any substance.
- we are totally lost and it really does not make sense how a one year old picture of Roxas in that kind of pose and quality achieves any of this : “We at Esquire Philippines will always dignify the memory of those lost, and the pain of those left behind in Tacloban City. Our November issue is dedicated to that purpose.”. for sure there is no “dignity” in that picture at least for Roxas and the whole concept of a high ranking government official giving a “hello” wave. they talk of “pain of those left behind” – again, there is nothing in that picture that comes close to that.
- then Esquire talks about our “writers and photographers revisit Tacloban in order to gather and present the very human tragedies that are still ongoing one year after Yolanda, as well as sift the facts regarding the government’s response“. they talk about “current” and yet they chose a one year old picture and it is a picture of Roxas, not of the city or things that are being done at the city, or how the city itself looks now. with that stated goal, you would think a picture of Tacloban the place or Tacloban the place and its people now would have been more appropriate and more on strategy with that thinking. instead they chose a one year old picture of Roxas in a silly pose.
here is where we are at :
- the cover photo and article is not a PR effort for Roxas
- it is a terrible photo choice of Roxas
- this is an extreme departure from all previous Esquire cover photos. this photo is highly inconsistent with the other cover photos the magazine puts out – glamour shots of the subject, shot in a studio and with some high concept or has some drama in it
- that cover photo does not achieve the stated goals of Esquire
- or Esquire can’t seem to justify their cover photo choice no matter how hard they try
- a photo of Tacloban or Tacloban and its people would have been more appropriate given their goals and what they say is the content of the article inside the magazine
- which leads us to confirm our first suspicion – this was a lampoon of Roxas, a demolition job on the possibly next president of the country
the longer this thing goes on and the more info we get, the worse this becomes for Esquire Philippines. instead of hating on Roxas, netizens should be hating on Esquire for its stupid editorial decisions.
Miriam cites SC rulings vs Binay’s ‘silence’ on allegations
Short of declaring Vice President Binay guilty of the allegations against him, Senator Miriam Santiago cites a number of Supreme Court rulings that scoff at the silence of the accused
MANILA, Philippines – It has become Senator Miriam Santiago v. Vice President Jejomar Binay.
It was an event sponsored by the Catholics for Reproductive Health, but Senator Miriam Santiago veered her topic towards the end of her speech to slam Binay’s refusal to attend the Senate probe on the alleged overpriced Makati City Hall II Parking Building.
Binay’s strategy to resort to speeches to respond to the allegations, she said, is tantamount to forum shopping.
“In the cascade of corruption cases that have fallen on the heads of the hapless Filipino people, the most spectacular are the plunder and allied charges against Vice-President Jejomar Binay,” Santiago began the section of the speech titled, “The Curious Case of the Taciturn Vice-President.”
Short of declaring Binay guilty of the allegations against him by former Makati vice mayor Ernesto Mercado, the former trial lawyer cited 6 Supreme Court rulings that scoff at the silence of the accused.
“The presumption of innocence means only that it is the prosecution which bears the burden of proof. Once the prosecution has presented evidence, then it becomes the obligation of the respondent to present his evidence. After hearing both sides, then the tribunal makes a decision based on the evidence,” Santiago said.
Vice President Binay dismissed the probe of the Senate Blue Ribbon Subcommittee as pre-judged and politically motivated while his son, Makati Mayor Erwin Jejomar Binay, challenged the jurisdiction of the subcommittee but was junked for lack of merit.
Santiago said Binay cannot and should not evade the jurisdiction of the Senate for this simple reason: “If the VP has truth to tell, what is he afraid of?”
She added: “Binay appears to be content in defending himself by delivering speeches accusing his enemies of lying. That is not sufficient. He must present his own evidence.”
Santiago explained how the ruling of the High Court in 7 cases work against Binay’s reasoning in skipping the Senate probe.
She cited the following as jurisprudence to support the Senate jurisdiction over the Makati building probe:
Dela Paz v. Senate Committee on Foreign Relations
read in full here: http://www.rappler.com/nation/72067-miriam-binay-supreme-court
Binayfication is the strategy employed by VP Binay and the rest of the family on the current allegations and charges hounding them individually and collectively as a family. Binayfication is about ignoring and not answering the allegations and charges of corruption being revealed and multiplying at the committee hearings led by Senators Cayetano, Pimentel and Trillanes. It is about ignoring and not answering them and instead introducing new issues and points that are totally unrelated to the charges and allegations with the intent of diverting the attention of the people.
these survey results from both Pulse Asia and SWS says it all, quite emphatically how Binayfication has failed as a strategy:
all the survey results, Pulse Asia’s trust and performance ratings and SWS satisfaction ratings of jojo binay as a vice president has plummeted in September 2014 from previous periods of June and March 2014. the changes from September to June are all dramatic and statistically significant – the drops are -15% points. comparing the September numbers to one more quarter before that, from March 2014, the drops are even more devastating, they increase from a middle double-digit number to now -20% in most cases.
not only that, the drops as the Pulse Asia survey shows are across the board, across all regions and across all socio-eco classes. in other words, the vote of disapproval is from everyone in all places in the country. that is massive decline in any survey, political or even in marketing.
that tells us whatever it is the Binay camp are doing, they are not working and is not helping the cause of VP Binay for his 2016 presidential aspirations. in marketing, actions and strategies are measured and judged by numbers, by results. the actual business numbers and results equivocally tell us whether they are working or not. numbers that go up simply say they are working and numbers that are down says they are not working. whatever the numbers are, you base your next step on those. good numbers says continue whatever you are doing while bad numbers says stop whatever you are doing and change course.
for the past weeks, all that the Binay camp have been doing is Binayfication. the numbers are out and what they are saying is that Binayfication is not working . the smart strategist will make a move to change strategies. but that does not seem to be what they will do. so far, all they have been doing is the same thing. doing the same thing will give the same results. if these initial results is the beginning of a trend, Binay is set to lose the 2016 election.
credit goes to sargo for the term “Binayfication”. it is being used with permission.