Pulse Asia august 2009 presidentiables survey – villar’s lead jump aggressively, overtakes de castro
some points on this new poll results:
the major candidates:
- villar catapults to top place, overtaking de castro with an impressive gain this polling period versus previous. he showed great strength with a significant increase of +11 pts from previous period. he continues to be very strong in leading across the board, in all geographic areas and among socio-eco classes. villar is way ahead versus other presidentiables except in mindanao and the E socio-eco class where he ties estrada on the lead.
- estrada moves up from 3rd to as he continue to show strength and is surprising to be now at second. his strengths are in mindanao and the E socio-eco class.
- de castro from lead drops to 3rd place but is within range from estrada who is in 2nd.
- escudero is a strong 4th. his strongholds are NCR and the ABC socio-eco class. this can be a problem as he also needs to reach and build appeal in areas outside NCR and the poor. he needs advertising.
the “other” candidates:
- the other candidates need to look at this data seriously and must start some very serious marketing and advertising efforts as soon as possible if they intend to be a contender in next year’s election.
- or decide to bow out of the presidential race in the coming weeks.
- binay is just an NCR candidate as he gets a double digit rating only in NCR while in the other areas weak single digit ratings.
- it is shocking that fernando is not making any dent at all even at NCR, his theoretical stronghold. for binay to rate better than fernando at the NCR shows just how weak fernando’s candidacy is.
- teodoro not even getting a vote in almost all areas and socio-eco classes inspite of heavy advertising says he is totally not a factor in this election. he needs to rethink strategy or bow out of the race.
- we are getting very close to that time when the “other” candidates will need a miracle to even have a fighting chance to win.
The survey fieldwork was conducted from July 28 to August 10, 2009 using face-to-face interviews. Among the major developments immediately prior to and during the conduct of the interviews for this survey were the prolonged hospitalization due to terminal illness and subsequent death of President Corazon Cojuangco Aquino; the last State of the Nation Address (SONA) of President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo and her latest visit to the United States (US); the unexplained growth in the President’s wealth since assuming the presidency in 2001; the increasing number of probable presidential candidates for the May 2010 elections; the controversies surrounding the selection of two new members of the Supreme Court and this year’s National Artist awardees; and the loss of lives and destruction of infrastructure caused by two powerful typhoons. On the economic front, inflation in July fell to a twenty-two year low.
August 25, 2009
the top rankings have not changed – escudero continue to lead at 23%, villar at 2nd with 16%, binay at 3rd with 14% and fernando at 4th with 13%. while the rankings may have not changed, the gaps have tightened and that is because of the increase in votes for the tail enders.
noteworthy is the big time surge for bro. eddie villanueva who after just 4 days of
being included in the poll now has 6% of the votes putting him at 6th place behind 5th placer roxas who has 7%.
this is the first time we have seen such a magnificent surge in the 2010 Presidentiables Poll. we did not see this kind of surge for newcomers like perlas, teodoro, panlilio nor madrigal.
the surge is obviously being fueled by villanueva supporters who are in the internet. they were probably just been waiting for us to include him in the poll. in fact, there have been complaints before questioning our decision not to include him in the poll. we said that he was not included because he has not declared his intention to run. in fact, we included villanueva in the polls on the day he announced he is a presidentiable.
there are just a few candidates who have a strong presence in the internet – these are villar, escudero, binay, fernando and now villanueva. we have seen the votes of these candidates surge at certain times when they start to ask their supporters who are also in the internet to go to this blog to vote.
we are particularly impressed with villanueva as this is the fastest, most massive surge we have seen in the 2010 Presidentiables Poll, congratulations to bro. eddie’s supporters.
vote in the polls and see the results here: http://2010presidentiables.wordpress.com/2009/04/29/2010-presidentiables-poll-cast-your-vote/
at the 6 o’clock news – bro. mike velarde says he wants to be president. in the interview velarde says it looks like being president is the only way he can help people.
he will not campaign like most but he has set up a system of asking individuals to look for 24 other people who will support him, much like a pyramiding scheme works.
velarde is the leader of a religious group with a few million members and he thinks his scheme will work.
velarde also said his support for gloria macaoagal arroyo ends in june 2010 when arroyo’s term ends.
El Shaddai leader Mike Velarde on Wednesday revealed that he wants to run for president in 2010 and is “consulting” with the core members of the worldwide charismatic movement on his plan.
Velarde said he wants to get the approval of the religious group’s supposed seven million followers in the country because without their support, his dream may not materialize.
“My entering politics lie in their hands because we believe that the voice of the people is the voice of the Lord. That dictum is not just for any people. It should be for the voice of the people of God,” he said.
“I am in the process of consulting our members nationwide and worldwide what to do in the 2010 elections,” he added.
El Shaddai – a Catholic charismatic movement which is reputed to have played a pivotal role in the country’s past elections – has international chapters in over 30 countries.
Velarde said that should he flock ultimately vote against his running in the upcoming polls, he would just endorse one of the candidates.
“If they don’t want me to run, then let’s agree to make a choice whom we can vote. I still have my plan,” he said.
In March, Velarde hinged his plan to venture into politics not solely on his millions of followers but also on religious officials from the Catholic Bishops Conference of the Philippines.
“’Pag sinabi sa akin ng CBCP, ‘ikaw na Brother Mike,’ sasabihin ko, ‘yes sir.’ Kasi masunurin ako, I’m a loyal soldier kasi ng simbahan,” Velarde said. [See: Bro Mike Velarde tatakbong presidente kapag inindorso ng CBCP]