Pulse Asia august 2009 presidentiables survey – villar’s lead jump aggressively, overtakes de castro
some points on this new poll results:
the major candidates:
- villar catapults to top place, overtaking de castro with an impressive gain this polling period versus previous. he showed great strength with a significant increase of +11 pts from previous period. he continues to be very strong in leading across the board, in all geographic areas and among socio-eco classes. villar is way ahead versus other presidentiables except in mindanao and the E socio-eco class where he ties estrada on the lead.
- estrada moves up from 3rd to as he continue to show strength and is surprising to be now at second. his strengths are in mindanao and the E socio-eco class.
- de castro from lead drops to 3rd place but is within range from estrada who is in 2nd.
- escudero is a strong 4th. his strongholds are NCR and the ABC socio-eco class. this can be a problem as he also needs to reach and build appeal in areas outside NCR and the poor. he needs advertising.
the “other” candidates:
- the other candidates need to look at this data seriously and must start some very serious marketing and advertising efforts as soon as possible if they intend to be a contender in next year’s election.
- or decide to bow out of the presidential race in the coming weeks.
- binay is just an NCR candidate as he gets a double digit rating only in NCR while in the other areas weak single digit ratings.
- it is shocking that fernando is not making any dent at all even at NCR, his theoretical stronghold. for binay to rate better than fernando at the NCR shows just how weak fernando’s candidacy is.
- teodoro not even getting a vote in almost all areas and socio-eco classes inspite of heavy advertising says he is totally not a factor in this election. he needs to rethink strategy or bow out of the race.
- we are getting very close to that time when the “other” candidates will need a miracle to even have a fighting chance to win.
The survey fieldwork was conducted from July 28 to August 10, 2009 using face-to-face interviews. Among the major developments immediately prior to and during the conduct of the interviews for this survey were the prolonged hospitalization due to terminal illness and subsequent death of President Corazon Cojuangco Aquino; the last State of the Nation Address (SONA) of President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo and her latest visit to the United States (US); the unexplained growth in the President’s wealth since assuming the presidency in 2001; the increasing number of probable presidential candidates for the May 2010 elections; the controversies surrounding the selection of two new members of the Supreme Court and this year’s National Artist awardees; and the loss of lives and destruction of infrastructure caused by two powerful typhoons. On the economic front, inflation in July fell to a twenty-two year low.