manila standard today poll – aquino maintains dominant front runner lead

this manila standard today survey is the 4th nationwide survey conducted in early december that has consistently put noynoy aquino as the dominant front runner in the 2010 presidential elections. the other hree  are the SWS poll commissioned by Business World (click here: SWS Business World Presidentiable Poll – aquino has dominant lead at 46.2%), the december 2009 Pulse Asia poll (click here:  pulse asia december 2009 senatoriables poll – to win, the challenge is differentiation)  and the December 2009 SWS best leader poll (click here: SWS November Presidentiables Poll – aquino holds dominant lead, villar moves up to be a real threat, teodoro stays at no consequence).

all 4 nationwide surveys have basically the same results:

  • noynoy aquino is the dominant dront runner with at least 45% rating.
  • 2nd is manny villar at best 27% and a far second to aquino.
  • 3rd is erap estrada, at best 18%.
  • gilbert teodoro is among the laggards, at best geting 5%.
  • villanueva consistently gets 1%-2%.
  • gordon whose name was included only in the december polls get 1% to 2%.
  • all others get negligible ratings.

with 4  nationwide surveys having basically the same results says they are pretty solid and is a strong view of voter sentiments.   

SENATOR Benigno Aquino III has maintained a double-digit lead over Senator Manuel Villar Jr. in the race for the presidency, the latest poll commissioned by Standard Today shows.

The nationwide face-to-face survey of 2,500 respondents conducted from Dec. 6 to 12 showed Aquino with 46 percent of the vote, followed by Villar with 27 percent and ousted President Joseph Estrada with 17 percent. Administration candidate Gilberto Teodoro garnered 5 percent.

The survey has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

All candidates improved from the previous Standard Today poll in November, picking up votes that had gone to Senator Francis Escudero, who has dropped out of the race, and from the ranks of the undecided, which fell to only 2 percent from 4 percent last month.

In the December poll, Aquino picked up 5 percent, Villar 3 percent, Estrada 5 percent, and Teodoro 2 percent. Evangelist Eduardo Villanueva, who was unlisted in November, managed 2 percent in December. Senators Richard Gordon and Jamby Madrigal each got less than 1 percent.

http://www.manilastandardtoday.com/insideNews.htm?f=2009/december/28/news1.isx&d=/2009/december/28

  1. Fernando
    December 31, 2009 at 2:28 pm

    According to most blog surveys like this, they reached millions of respondents. So, what do we think is the most reliable source of statistics on presidentiables surveys? — that kind of NON-PROFIT online surveys that covers respondents ALL OVER THE WORLD or random surveys that are being done by the BUSINESS ORIENTED leading survey companies (ie. False Asia, SWS, etc.) which in fact has FEW RESPONDENTS?

    May Pag-asa pa! Babangon din ang Pilipinas!

    • December 31, 2009 at 2:33 pm

      on-line polls are not representative of the actual voting universe. polls by SWS and Pulse Asia are much more reliable and truly representative of the voting universe.

      MOST pinoy voters are poor and do not have computers and internet access. that means internet polls are able to capture only a very small portion of the voting universe and a very defined group.

      • yousef
        January 1, 2010 at 5:37 am

        basta ako walang tiwala sa mga dambuhalang survey companies na yan since before pa.

        para sa king sariling pananaw, puedeng makontrol ang resulta ng survey ng mga politikong ma-impluwensya at mga mayayamang businessmen na connected sa isang politiko.

        nagtataka ako sa yo bakit ka partisan at ngayon ka lang sumang-ayon sa kredibilidad at integridad ng mga resulta dahil ba sa nangunguna ang kandidato mo.

        alam mo kinokondisyon lang nila ang isip ng mga botante sa trending na nangyayari.

        kaya mga botante maging matalino at huwag padadala sa mga trending na ito na kontrolado ng mga mapera. hindi dahil sa popular ang isang kandidato ay iboboto na nga ninyo.

        – yousef

        • January 1, 2010 at 4:07 pm

          poll results are passive. it is up to the reader if he/she wants to be influenced by it.

          they have very useful roles – voters can see where their candidates are compared to the others. campaigns can also be helped by these as results as it can help them change and improve their campaigns.

    • December 31, 2009 at 2:40 pm

      aside from sample size or number of respondents, what is equally important is the demographics profile or respondent criteria that is a representation of the voting population. polls to be reliable need to have the right sample size, the right respondent criteria, the right design and random sampling. many of that cannot be achieved by internet polls.

  2. yousef
    January 2, 2010 at 12:03 am

    wawam :polls by SWS and Pulse Asia are much more reliable and truly representative of the voting universe.
    MOST pinoy voters are poor…

    oh what a waste of advertising money from politicos thru this kind of profit-oriented surveys… but the masses will remain poor forever. ^_^

  3. January 6, 2010 at 3:16 pm

    Let us think twice before we decide on who to vote for this coming 2010 national election. First let us look on the profile of our candidates which I think is the most important thing to consider before we cast our vote for them.Let us consider Performers and Doers and not popularity endorsed by popular actors and actresses. Filipino voters are already matured enough to evaluate and analyze the candidates before putting the names of the candidates in the official ballot. We should vote Intelligently and be vigilant enough to stand guard until the counting and canvassing of votes is finished by the Congress.

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