new presidentiables survey jan-feb TNS: aquino at 42%, villar at 31%. villar should resolve C-5

Taylor Nelson Sofres (TNS) survey, conducted from Jan. 28 to Feb. 3

  1. Aquino –  41.54%
  2. Villar – 30.63%
  3. Estrada –  11.66%
  4. Teodoro – 5.21%
  5. Villanueva – 2% 
  6. Gordon – 1.7%
  7. Mardigal – 0.22%

the results are  consistent with the most recent poll result releases of SWS and Pulse Asia where the rankings are about the same. this latest poll results show aquino and villar are the front runners although in this one aquino has a wide lead over villar. estrada is also 3rd here and teodoro 4th also getting 5%. almost all the polls getting just about the same results validates each other’s results as firm and a true reflection of voter sentiments.

fieldwork for this poll was end january to early february when the C-5 controversy on villar was getting headlines. TNS says that has affected the results for villar. that makes us think that corruption is most likely a key issue in this election.

 it looks like C-5 will hound the candidacy of villar. also makes us think that should he win the presidency, just like arroyo, villar will have a corruption issue hanging on his head throughout his presidency. it was the “hello garci” case for arroyo, it might be C-5 for villar.  as in the “hello garci” case, the C-5 issue will not go away for villar. we think it is best that villar mop out a plan to get this issue to be resolved after the election, especially if he wins the election. he should do this for the sake of his presidency and the country.   the country needs closure on this issue.

with teodoro reported to be 2nd highest spender in advertising with P407M spent and teodoro getting just 5% in this poll – it confirms our opinion that teodoro is being rejected by the voters across the board. with that kind of ad money spent, lack of awareness is no longer an excuse. this simply says teodoro is being rejected by voters.

read PDI article in full here:

  1. Estipona ng Davao
    February 21, 2010 at 12:07 pm

    I agree with you,corruption issue is one of the major factor on choosing a candidate.On Villar ,Estrada and Teodoro this is a sticking issue.If they will not able to address this,it is one major stumbling block for their candidacy.I hope the voters will shift their choices on Villanueva and Gordon.Villanueva and Gordon are better choices with no corruption issues and clean records.

  2. bac
    February 22, 2010 at 10:38 am

    I agree with Estipona. I’m rooting for Gordon-Fernando tandem because I believe that for us to prosper, we need to have incorruptible leaders. Specifically, we need leaders-implementors.
    We had academically superb, intelligent, eloquent leaders in the past, but the problem is they were not able to deliver because they’re either corrupted or not capable as implementors.
    I’m already fed up of sweet, intelligent talkings/speech and promises. Let’s now have leaders who are proven capable of delivering the desired result of their plan/platform.

  3. February 22, 2010 at 11:38 pm

    If Villar and his “C-5 at Tiaga” CONTROVERSY and Gibo’s voter’s rejection, that leaves Noynoy to be the president? Then the country is DOOM to fail. I really felt sorry for Millions of Filipinos who will have to live with it. I currently do not live in the Philippines, though I would like to see a major make over of the Philippine politics which is the removal of DIRTY POLITICIANS that left the country cripple for decades. It is sad to say that it will be the same thing with Noynoy even with his integrity but the people “TRAPOS” around him like the Drillon and celebrities behind him, it will be the same 6 years of hardships. If I were to vote, I will pick a candidate who has proven himself many many times. I really think there is still hope with Senator Richard Gordon.

    • February 23, 2010 at 8:38 am

      if aquino wins, it is Vox populi, vox dei or for any other presidentiable for that matter.

      assuming we know the meaning of the word, there are “trapos” everywhere. i do not think any presidentiable is exempt from them. that tells you character may be most important then, so that the presidentiable can resist the temptation from the trapos.

      i like gordon but he is not doing nearly enough to get elected.

      • February 23, 2010 at 12:48 pm

        my only response to you, if you like Gordon, then make a change. don’t be so naive like the others that follows the popular and the “Money” Villar.

  4. February 23, 2010 at 11:20 am

    The results maybe consistent but are they (TNS’ as against latest PA and SWS survey where Villar and Nonoy are tied statistically) statistically significant. Was it just timed after C5 to explain Noynoy’s sudden increase in rating back to the 40’s? This would make the TNS survey doubtful. We will see…

    I believe for Noynoy to win more voters, he must bring in a fresh face to his campaign. I am talking about Shahalani, his beautiful councellor girlfriend. After all, if Noynoy’s going to be our president we must at least have a glimpse of our incoming first lady. This, I think, would get voters from the Villar’s camp mainly. The name of the game is contrast, as well as-IMAGE. For look at what the first family, especially the FG, has brought us. SHAME. CORRUPTION. UGLINESS. Think of what a beautiful first lady can bring to the table. I also think that Kris’ latest tactics brought his ratings down.

    For Gordon, he should speak the masa language to win from the Erap votes or Teodoro’s. His voter base (the inelligencia) is already solid. He should appear less smug and “less intelligent” in interviews to appeal to the “bakya” crowd. Maybe, he should start by speaking in tagalog more often and to speak more slowly para naman ma”gets” ng tao message nya.

  1. March 6, 2010 at 9:26 am

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