Home > 2010 philippine presidential election, erap estrada, gilbert teodoro, Kahindik-hindik, manny villar, noynoy aquino, politics in the philippines, presidentiables, why gilbert teodoro will lose the election > 2010 election: aquino landslide win, teodoro hail mary pass, villar collapse and estrada to win the election?

2010 election: aquino landslide win, teodoro hail mary pass, villar collapse and estrada to win the election?

the villarroyo development puts many new things into the table now. there used to be only 1 item on the table – a close election between villar and aquino and estrada as the dark horse.

with the new developments on the arroyo’s secret candidate in villar on top of the teodoro being their candidate, we now see new things on the table:

  • villar collapse – we have seen what arroyo’s kiss of death did to gilbert teodoro – super glued to fourth place from survey to survey, unable to get up to even a double digit rating in the polls. if the villarroyo charge sticks, we can see a transfer of arroyo’s kiss of death on villar. that is IF the kiss of death is transferable to others.
  • teodoro on a hail mary pass – we are totally confounded by teodoro. he did not see any of this coming? now he is left out in the open all by himself. in this whole thing, teodoro is the most abused by his mentors. teodoro decided to leave NPC to join lakas-kampi-cmd to fulfil his presidential ambitions. his party did not welcome him with open arms. they didn’t want him to be their standard bearer. from the very beginning they were vocal on that. this rejection by his own party was also shown in the fact that none of the big time lakas candidates wanted to be his vice presidential mate.  fast forward to a few weeks ago we hear his campaign complaining on lack of funding from the party. a few days ago he quits as chair of his party apparently because he got to know that arroyo supports villar. all of these, teodoro did not see coming? really? well, he will now be pushed to most probably do a hail mary pass – completely remove himself from the grip of the arroyos and start attacking the them. that we think can get him back into the election.
  • estrada a clear possibility –  these developments is good news for estrada. recent SWS poll show estrada gained from villar when villar got hit by the C-5 corruption issue. a collapse by villar can mean, if the recent developments in the polls continue to hold, estrada gaining in the polls which can make him a true contender in this election. however, there is so much irony here — villar collapsing on a corruption issue for erap to gain who is a  convicted criminal of a crime of plunder, a corruption verdict of the highest order for public officials.
  • aquino poised for a landslide win – only aquino gets the good news on this one. aquino has been on a single minded positioning of anti-corruption. by sheer luck, the recent developments gives the election to aquino on a silver platter, setting him up for a possible landslide win in the election.  with his closest rival, villar to be enshrined with being supported by the mother of all corruption, the arroyos, this leaves aquino untainted, clean and without blemish. it can be a wake up call for voters, specially for villar supporters.

if there is anything to be learned in this whole episode, it is this – it’s a fluid election. unfortunately and i say this with a tinge of shame and embarrassment  the election being fluid is not being caused by a debate of changing national issues but by the stuff of telenovela twists and turns. very pinoy. hay naku….

  1. April 1, 2010 at 1:42 pm

    Only one way for GMA to prevent an Aquino presidency: Transfer her anointing (kiss of death) to Noynoy as her presidential candidate.

  2. Phoebe
    April 5, 2010 at 11:05 am

    Haha! loved the telenovela twists and turns comment. So true! But there is yet hope for our country. At least we are thinking voters now huh. Now we have the competency to scrutinize skills and accomplishments and not just base our judgment on face value. God Bless our country!

    • April 13, 2010 at 12:31 pm

      changes in election dynamics do happen, just wish these were on national issues and not intrigues and shameless scams and tsismis.

  3. Victoria
    April 13, 2010 at 10:43 am

    we are all watching too much teleserye and too much tv i suppose to think Noy will win the election…forget outside influence or what we see on surveys…surveys are now used to condition the mind for certain candidates. Let’s not make it as a major basis for our choice. It’s very shallow. At the end of the day, we need to pick someone that can lead this country. We need someone who is more sensible than anyone else, a unified candidate, with good leadership skills, more compose, intellectually excellent, someone who is not afraid to face the music and most of all someone who has a strong sense of character. We can’t afford to get emotional and settle for less.

    • April 13, 2010 at 12:33 pm

      surveys are there to let us know what the voter sentiments are. it’s really up to the individual to allow or not allow the survey results to influence our decisions.

      BUT it is also true that there are people who will be swayed by the bandwagon effect. it is understandable that there are those who want to vote for the winner.

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