Archive

Posts Tagged ‘fidel ramos’

Roxas catapults to #2, beats Binay, all behind Aquino’s endorsement and “Daang Matuwid”

September 21, 2015 Leave a comment

latest SWS presidentiables poll for the 2016 election has put a dazzling surprise – Mar Roxas an erstwhile low 3rd in the previous survey has jumped to 2nd place and in the process pushing down Jejomar Binay to 3rd.

not only the improvement in ranking was the big surprise, the numbers are amazing, from the previous poll putting roxas at 21%, roxas catapulted to 39%, a giant leap of +18%.

binay who used to be 2nd now sits at 35%, almost the same as the previous poll at 34%. the 1% point difference is not statistically significant.

Screen Shot 2015-09-21 at 1.49.21 PM

source : http://www.sws.org.ph

however, roxas’ lead over binay, +4% points is statistically significant from binay with the +/- 3% points margin of error.

what happened? what caused the phenomenal increase in rating and standing of mar roxas?

we think what drove the impressive increase is the endorsement of president aquino of roxas’ candidacy to the presidency. the SWS survey was conducted  september 2 to 5 wScreen Shot 2015-09-21 at 1.57.31 PMhich was very close to the announcement of Aquino’s endorsement of Roxas that happened on july 31, 2015 at club filipino. it was a big event as it got full media coverage and was in the news that evening and succeeding days. it has been highly speculated that aquino will endorse roxas, the actual announcement was highly anticipated by everyone.

aquino is the country’s most popular president. no other president was able to gain the kind of very high ratings that aquino has gotten. this high level began at the start of his presidency and was continued on through the years. even aquino’s low ratings were much higher than arroyo’s ratings which almost always stayed on the negative. arroyo is one of the country’s most unpopular president while aquino is the country’s most popular president.

the incumbent president’s endorsement seem to have a lot of power, negative or positive,  in philippine politics.

president arroyo endorsed gibo teodoro but since arroyo was one of the country’s most unpopular president, that endorsement became a kiss of death for teodoro.

cory aquino’s endorsement of fidel ramos we think was one of the reasons ramos got elected. cory was and is one of the country’s most popular and beloved presidents. today, cory is considered a hero by many.

aside from aquino’s endorsement, we think the other driver for roxas’ surge in the polls is “daang matuwid”. daang matuwid was the campaign platform of noynoy aquino when he ran for the presidency, one that he won on a landslide. aside from the 2010 campaign, this was also used by aquino as central and often the headline of aquino’s governance.

right after the endorsement of aquino, roxas immediately proclaimed that he will continue “daang matuwid” and in fact Roxas ran TV ads on “daang matuwid” one day after he was endorsed by aquino.  in speeches aquino identified roxas as the person who he thinks will continue and has the competence to continue “daang matuwid”.

corruption in government which daang matuwid is going against appear to continue to be a top issue among voters. it also helps one of the key aspirants for the presidency is being alleged as a serial and multiple corrupt government official, vp jejomar binay. binay to this day has not answered or made  an effort to dispel the alleged charges of corruption.

this is turn is perhaps the reason why binay has been sliding in the polls. binay’s drop to third is the second for binay. he used to be at the top of the polls before the alleged corruption charges were revealed at the senate,

we had underestimated the power of president aquino as endorser and the idea of “daang matuwid”. we expected improvements but we dd not see it happening in this grand scale.

the momentum is with roxas. poe’s momentum has been stopped and binay may have stabilized. a continuing surge by roxas and a decline in base support for poe and binay can win him the presidency.

 

 

 

Pro- RH TV Ads “I support the RH Bill” & “Pro-Chance”

April 5, 2011 2 comments

noynoy aquino’s abundant political capital yields impressive job satisfaction rating

October 7, 2010 1 comment

latest SWS performance job satisfaction rating of the president gave president noynoy aquino an impressive +60% net satisfaction, with only 11% dissatisfied  and a 71% satisfied rating.

this high net satisfaction rating is in line with other previous presidents aquino, ramos and estrada who also got very high net satisfaction rating at the start of their presidency. arroyo was the only president who got a low satisfaction rating at the start of her administration.

it is expected that presidents at the start of their administrations get very high ratings, but what makes aquino’s high start of administration rating  impressive is that this comes just weeks from the bus hostage crisis at luneta that was a complete failure on the part of the government. the hostage rescue showed the police as incompetent, ill-equipped and generally does not know what it was doing during the hostage crisis rescue.

we were expecting the failed bus hostage rescue would affect aquino’s job satisfaction rating but apparently it did not. it appears the people do not see the bus hostage rescue failure as a failure of president aquino.

the opposition has said that this high satisfaction rating may be due to “post election euphoria” . that is a ridiculous notion. the election was in may, this survey was conducted in september, whatever euphoria aquino enjoyed from the election, it has all disappeared by september which is a good four months.

also the negative sentiments generated by the failed bus hostage rescue should have erased whatever euphoria may have been left over from the may elections.

the fact that aquino’s satisfaction rating started on a very high level may indicate that the people are truly satisfied with aquino’s performance or  the people has so much trust in the president that it is willing to ignore his failings, having so much faith that aquino will make good his election promise of good governance.

it appears aquino has accumulated a very high amount of political capital among the people built up during the election that he brought with  him going into his presidency. let us hope that aquino uses this as a  leverage to do good things for the people.

view from a fil-am on the 2010 presidential election – i hope filipinos will start to think before they vote

December 9, 2009 8 comments

this is comment posted by jon from texas in this blog, (read here:  https://2010presidentiables.wordpress.com/2009/12/09/presidentiables-as-of-mid-november-2008/#comment-3287)

we think it’s a good read for all.

———

I am a Filipino-American living in the US for over 20 years.

I left the Philippines in my teens when Corazon Aquino became the president after Marcos. I was elated to see how the Philippines would progress economically and the possibility of replacing those dirty politicians in Malacanang.

The turmoil and hardship in the Philippines had progressively worse with the exception under the leadership of Fidel Ramos during his tenure as our president, the country became somewhat better and the country was in the verge and footstep of an economic recovery. There was a time where I could not wait to read the business section from Time Magazine on how progressive the Philippine economy under the Ramos administration. At last, the Philippine brand “The Old Sick Man of Asia” will finally get the cure.

Then comes Joseph Estrada who is clueless, stupid, and very naïve on how to run a country. If Filipinos has any sense they should vote to somebody who has a legitimate education that will help him interpret and execute the constitution. Estrada has no formal education, he is a dropped out of high school and college. Maybe he did not pass his classes…

When he won the presidency, Filipinos had put themselves again in-lined with Bangladesh as the poorest and pitiful country politically and economically. Not to mention the most corrupt country in the world led by Joseph Estrada who plans to run for president again.

I hope Filipinos will start to think before they vote. They should vote on who is qualified, has proven record of accomplishment, and with great vision of the future, and a concrete map to the country’s economic future not by popularity because they have money or their running mate is a celebrity.

When Joseph Estrada won the presidency, the country deteriorated. The people’s living condition became indescribable. As a Filipino, it hurts me to see this.

In my research, I think Dick Gordon by far is the most obvious qualified candidate that can make every Filipino proud. He has proven himself numerous occasions in desperate times. I hope the INC Church Leader will choose him as their prime candidate. Let us examine each candidate….

Read more…

%d bloggers like this: