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VP Jojo Binay ratings continue to fall, a dramatic exodus of supporters

December 10, 2014 Leave a comment

presidentiable VP Jojo Binay’s survey ratings continue to fall for a second consecutive quarter. in this Pulse Asia survey to 26% in the November 2014 survey from 31% in the previous survey, a 5% point drop. this should worry Binay and his advisers as it makes the possibility of losing the 2016 election a bigger reality.

he is still number 1 in the survey but that is practically meaningless as for surveys like  these, the trend is much more important and meaningful than the actual rating for the period. the question being asked in this survey is something like “if elections were held today, who will you elect as president?”, thus the answer respondents are giving are relevant to the current time only when the survey was conducted.

the election is still in 2016, at least 5 quarters to go of surveys (surveys are conducted on a quarterly basis) and that means changes to the ratings and rankings will happen depending on developments in the country and the actions of the presidentiables. the changes will be dramatic with those initially ahead in the surveys early on dropping down, even to levels where they eventually lose the election. we saw this in the most recent presidential election in 2010 when at the start of the election period, senator Manny Villar was way ahead of everyone but eventually dropped to number 3 or 4 by election time when he was besieged with corruption charges and mismanaged its handling.

the drop in the most recent survey for Binay is an indication that the things he has been doing during the time from the previous survey to this one have not been working for Binay. Binay continued to be on a Binayfication strategy where he continue to ignore the corruption charges and allegations, refusing to directly answer them, to deny or confirm any of it and to offer evidence that prove they are false.

Binay Nov Chart

empty table

the table and chair set up at the senate for VP Binay

under the Binayfication strategy is his refusal to attend the senate hearing. the senate sub-committee that has been conducting the hearings on the over-pricing of the Makati parking building has repeatedly and in public told Binay there is an open invitation for him to attend the hearing. Binay on his part has also repeatedly refused to attend the hearings giving a lot of silly reasons. then at some point, for a reason only he and his advisers know, Binay said he will only attend the senate hearing  if the mother committee in the senate invites him.

well, the mother committee through the committee chair, senator Guingona, extended an invitation to the vice president. the senate even went to the extent of assigning a date and time. and on the appointed time and date, the senate set up a table, chair, a microphone, a name plate and even a glass of water in the middle of the place where the hearings are being conducted. it was a surreal scene as the media took pictures and showed live TV footage of the empty chair. Binay demanded the mother committee give him an invitation, it did but he did not show up.

there were new and additional corruption charges and allegations made during the period. but the other telling development under the Binayfication strategy was the debate with senator Trillanes. the same thing happened here – Binay challenged senator Trillanes to a debate on the corruption issues. after a bit of time, Trillanes agreed and accepted the debate challenge. staff from both sides started to meet to discuss the debate and like the one above, a date and time was set. then, all of a sudden and something that it appears none of his staff and advisers did not know about, Binay announced  he will not debate with Trillanes.

the drop in the most recent survey may be attributed to the Binayfication strategy – it is not working and it is not able to arrest the decline in the ratings of Binay. rather than helping him, Binay continue to lose supporters.

Nov2014BinayPulse_circle

looking at the specifics of the survey results, to us the most telling and the one that should concern Binay the most are his ratings in Luzon, and among the upper class (ABC) and the lower class, D.

the drops in Binay’s ratings are across the board – all areas and all socio-eco classes. but the drop in the Luzon rating is dramatic and stands out – it is now exactly one half of what it was in march, 2014. it is a dramatic decline to 22% from 44% in march, a huge -22% point loss.

similar dramatic declines occurred among the ABC and D socio-eco class. the upper and middle class saw an even bigger degradation – dropping -30% points to now just 17% from 47%. the D saw a -16% point shrinkage to 26% from 42%. losing your base support from these groups is a nightmare for any election campaign. this is an exodus of supporters from the thinking class and the poor.

the election is still 5 quarters away, Binay can still recover with still a lot of things he can do during that time. what he wants is to do things that will reverse what may be the beginning of a declining trend. he and his advisers should realize Binayfication is not working, something else needs to be done.

question is – does Binay have the smarts, the will power and the good things in him to abandon the Binayfication strategy and pursue another strategy, like the Truth Strategy?

3 survey charts that tell VP Binay his 2016 presidential ambition may be over

November 12, 2014 Leave a comment

read this here : http://wawam.wordpress.com/2014/11/05/3-survey-charts-that-tell-vp-binay-his-2016-presidential-ambition-may-be-over/

 

3 survey charts

members of Team Binay explain why VP Binay withdrew from the Binay-Trillanes debate

November 11, 2014 Leave a comment

first off, we are NOT inventing any of these. these are all real and published by Philippine media. we have here statements from two of the four spokespersons of VP BInay – Gov Jonvic Remilla and Rep Toby Tiangco and daughter of the VP, Senator Nancy Binay.

a fourth one is from VP Binay himself.

each one gave a different explanation for the withdrawal from the debate by VP Binay. nothing matches, not even remotely. not even his two spokespersons, Remulla and Tiangco had the same story and explanation. having things like this one is strange to have in presidential campaign.

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Binay camp: Debate with Trillanes a ‘disservice’ to ‘Yolanda’ survivors

Cavite Governor Juanito Victor “Jonvic ” Remulla

MANILA, Philippines – A spokesperson of Vice President Jejomar Binay said Tuesday that the vice president cancelled the scheduled November 27 debate with Senator Antonio Trillanes IV upon realizing that it is a “disservice” to the survivors of Super Typhoon “Yolanda.”

Cavite governor and Binay’s spokesperson on political affairs Jonvic Remulla said that the vice president is prioritizing “recovery over bickering.”

“The Vice President realized that engaging a debate with Senator Trillanes is a disservice to the millions who still have to recover from the Yolanda tragedy. Now is not the time for talk but for action. The Vice President is prioritizing the country over self, recovery over bickering, the people over himself,” Remulla said in a statement.

more here : http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/650101/binay-camp-debate-with-trillanes-a-disservice-to-yolanda-survivors

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It’s ‘answered prayer,’ says Nancy Binay

It’s a welcome relief for the Binay family, says the senator

MANILA, Philippines – Senator Nancy Binay said she is relieved that her father,Vice President Jejomar Binay, backed out of the debate with Senator Antonio Trillanes IV.

“This is an answered prayer and a welcome relief for the family, although we expect that our detractors will continue to gloat [over] the situation,” she said in a statement on Tuesday, November 11.

“In the light of early attempts to set the stage for the upcoming event as unfavorably biased for Vice President Jejomar Binay, we respect the Vice President’s decision to beg off from the scheduled debate,” she added.

Senator Binay was against the debate from the time it was proposed. “Medyo hindi rin ako sang-ayon sa debate. Sa unang statement ko nga (I’m not in favor of the debate. Like I said in my first statement), why should he stoop down to the level of Senator Trillanes?” she told reporters on Monday. (READ: Nancy Binay: VP ‘real underdog’ in debate with Trillanes)

Trillanes is among 3 senators leading a probe into allegedly overpriced infrastructure projects that Binay initiated when he was mayor of Makati City.

Saying he’s been prejudged, Binay refused to attend the subcommittee hearings. His camp later challenged Trillanes to a one-on-one debate, which Trillanes accepted.

The Vice President also snubbed the invitation of the Senate Blue Ribbon committee to answer allegations raised in the subcommittee. – Carmela Fonbuena/Rappler.com

source : http://www.rappler.com/nation/74726-nancy-binay-answered-prayer

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Tiangco: People want to see Binay work, not debate

UNA official elated over VP’s decision to back out of debate

MANILA – United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) interim president Toby Tiangco was elated upon learning that Vice President Jejomar Binay has backed out of a debate with Senator Antonio Trillanes IV.

Speaking to ANC, Tiangco said he was surprised to hear that Binay changed his mind about engaging Trillanes in a debate.

He said he talked to Binay on Monday and the Vice President was keen on pushing through with the debate.

He said a meeting with the Kapisanan ng mga Brodkaster ng Pilipinas (KBP) was also scheduled today.

Tiangco is happy with the Vice President’s decision, noting that he has always been vocal about his opposition to the debate.

“Magkausap pa kami kagabi ng mga 9:30 [pm], wala naman siyang sinasabi na magba-back out siya dun sa debate. But of course, I will not hide my happiness… Alam niyo naman na very vocal ako against the debate,” he said.

“Ako natutuwa kung hindi matutuloy because I already explained that people didn’t vote for the vice president to defend himself. Ang gusto nila makita yung bise presidente na nagtatrabaho,” he added.

more here: http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/11/11/14/tiangco-people-want-see-binay-work-not-debate

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Binay backs out of debate with Trillanes

MANILA, Philippines—Vice President Jejomar Binay has backed out from his scheduled public debate with Senator Antonio Trillanes IV, saying he does not want to appear “oppressive and opportunistic.”

Binay made the announcement during his 72nd birthday celebration at the Philippine Marines headquarters in Fort Bonifacio, Taguig.

“It’s final, it’s final. My decision won’t change,” Binay said in Filipino during an interview aired on radio.

Binay explained that he doesn’t want to look like he is taking advantage of Trillanes, who is not a lawyer unlike him.

“Ang dahilan ko mga kababayan e dahil sa marami na akong naririnig na ako ay ganito…ako ay mahusay, ako ay naging debater, ako ay abogado, e sobra na ‘tong mga sinabi niyang ganyan na kumpirmadong sinabi niya, e ayaw ko naman hong maging..ang pagkakalilala niyo sa aking mga kababayan ay mapang-api, mapagsamantala…so tama na po ‘yun,” he said.

(The reason why I am withdrawing is I have heard comments that I am already a good and experienced debater that comes with my being a lawyer. He has also been saying things as if they were already confirmed. I don’t want to appear oppressive and opportunistic, so I am backing out.)

Read more: http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/650018/binay-backs-out-of-debate-with-trillanes#ixzz3IlS93TlP
Follow us: @inquirerdotnet on Twitter | inquirerdotnet on Facebook

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~~~work in progress~~~

VP Binay withdraws from debate with Trillanes, Senator Nancy deep in thought on what to say about it

November 11, 2014 Leave a comment

this news was all the rage today in social media. VP Binay challenged Senator Trillanes to a debate, Trillanes accepted, Binay and Trillanes camps sit down with the KBP to discuss the debate then today, Binay withdraws from the debate.
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social media exploded with tweets on what just happened. these are just a few:

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there will be a lot more reactions to this political event. we are particularly interested on what Senator Nancy Binay, VP Binay’s daughter has to say about it.

and we are also interested what VP Binay’s quadro spokespersons Gov Remulla, Rep Tiangco, Atty Bautista and Salgado has to say.

for the record, VP Binay was first to challenge Trillanes to a debate :

senator miriam defenser santiago – “short of declaring Binay guilty” of charges

October 15, 2014 Leave a comment

Miriam cites SC rulings vs Binay’s ‘silence’ on allegations

Short of declaring Vice President Binay guilty of the allegations against him, Senator Miriam Santiago cites a number of Supreme Court rulings that scoff at the silence of the accused

MANILA, Philippines – It has become Senator Miriam Santiago v. Vice President Jejomar Binay.

It was an event sponsored by the Catholics for Reproductive Health, but Senator Miriam Santiago veered her topic towards the end of her speech to slam Binay’s refusal to attend the Senate probe on the alleged overpriced Makati City Hall II Parking Building.

Binay’s strategy to resort to speeches to respond to the allegations, she said, is tantamount to forum shopping.

“In the cascade of corruption cases that have fallen on the heads of the hapless Filipino people, the most spectacular are the plunder and allied charges against Vice-President Jejomar Binay,” Santiago began the section of the speech titled, “The Curious Case of the Taciturn Vice-President.”

Short of declaring Binay guilty of the allegations against him by former Makati vice mayor Ernesto Mercado, the former trial lawyer cited 6 Supreme Court rulings that scoff at the silence of the accused.

“The presumption of innocence means only that it is the prosecution which bears the burden of proof. Once the prosecution has presented evidence, then it becomes the obligation of the respondent to present his evidence. After hearing both sides, then the tribunal makes a decision based on the evidence,” Santiago said.

Vice President Binay dismissed the probe of the Senate Blue Ribbon Subcommittee as pre-judged and politically motivated while his son, Makati Mayor Erwin Jejomar Binay, challenged the jurisdiction of the subcommittee but was junked for lack of merit.

Santiago said Binay cannot and should not evade the jurisdiction of the Senate for this simple reason: “If the VP has truth to tell, what is he afraid of?”

She added: “Binay appears to be content in defending himself by delivering speeches accusing his enemies of lying. That is not sufficient. He must present his own evidence.”

Santiago explained how the ruling of the High Court in 7 cases work against Binay’s reasoning in skipping the Senate probe.

She cited the following as jurisprudence to support the Senate jurisdiction over the Makati building probe:

Dela Paz v. Senate Committee on Foreign Relations

read in full here: http://www.rappler.com/nation/72067-miriam-binay-supreme-court

Binayfication strategy is not working – change or explode in flames on the way down

October 14, 2014 2 comments

Binayfication is the strategy employed by VP Binay and the rest of the family on the current allegations and charges hounding them individually and collectively as a family. Binayfication is about ignoring and not answering the allegations and charges of corruption being revealed and multiplying at the committee hearings led by Senators Cayetano, Pimentel and Trillanes. It is about ignoring and not answering them and instead introducing new issues and points that are totally unrelated to the charges and allegations with the intent of diverting the attention of the people.

these survey results from both Pulse Asia and SWS says it all, quite emphatically how Binayfication has failed as a strategy:

SepSWSTrustBinay SepPulsePerfBinay SWSSepPerfBinay

sources : http://www.sws.org.ph/ and http://pulseasia.ph/

all the survey results, Pulse Asia’s trust and performance ratings and SWS satisfaction ratings of jojo binay as a vice president has plummeted in September 2014 from previous periods of June and March 2014. the changes from September to June are all dramatic and statistically significant – the drops are -15% points. comparing the September numbers to one more quarter before that, from March 2014, the drops are even more devastating, they increase from a middle double-digit number to now -20% in most cases.

not only that, the drops as the Pulse Asia survey shows are across the board, across all regions and across all socio-eco classes. in other words, the vote of disapproval is from everyone in all places in the country. that is massive decline in any survey, political or even in marketing.

that tells us whatever it is the Binay camp are doing, they are not working and is not helping the cause of VP Binay for his 2016 presidential aspirations. in marketing, actions and strategies are measured and judged by numbers, by results. the actual business numbers and results equivocally tell us whether they are working or not. numbers that go up simply say they are working and numbers that are down says they are not working. whatever the numbers are, you base your next step on those. good numbers says continue whatever you are doing while bad numbers says stop whatever you are doing and change course.

for the past weeks, all that the Binay camp have been doing is Binayfication. the numbers are out and what they are saying is that Binayfication is not working . the smart strategist will make a move to change strategies. but that does not seem to be what they will do. so far, all they have been doing is the same thing. doing the same thing will give the same results. if these initial results is the beginning of a trend, Binay is set to lose the 2016 election.

credit goes to sargo for the term “Binayfication”. it is being used with permission. 

 

in 2010 – contrary to what he is saying now, Jojo Binay said he bought land for his piggery in Batangas

October 13, 2014 Leave a comment

from an interview that Raissa Robles did with Jojo Binay (now vice president and 2016 presidentiable) in 2010, Binay said he “bought land for his piggery in Batangas”. that is contrary to what they are saying now, as they are now saying the land was just
“leased”.

listen to the audio recording here, at around 0:7:34 minutes of the audio.

read Raissa Robles’s article in full here : http://raissarobles.com/2014/10/13/binay-told-me-in-2010-he-had-bought-not-leased-the-land-for-his-piggery/

transcript of the interview from Raissa Robles’ article:

             Binay: Kasi inulit na naman yung charges na yan. Condos, bahay.

Hindi, pero, is it – I mean, ok. Personally, I mean , kung anuhin nyo yung family, how many do you own? Houses –

Binay: yung bahay namin at saka yung bahay namin sa Batangas.(garbled)..

Wala nang condo –

Binay: Condo, dati yung anak ko nakatira sa condo. Ngayon nakatira sa bahay. ..(garbled)

Ngayon sa bahay na lang.

O may bahay na siya. May isang bahay na siya. Siya na lang ang wala dito sa bahay namin.

Ah, Ok.

Binay: Lahat ng anak ko, at saka yung apo ko, second apo ko kay Abigail, yun lang ang wala dito.

( At 7.28 minutes of the video) Sir, yung Batangas is how many hectares?

Binay: Meron akong isang babuyan doon. (garbled)

Mga 10 hectares? Eleven?

Binay: Ya.

Mga around 10 hectares. Namana nyo yoon?

Binay: Binili ko.

Aaah. Ok.

Binay: Mga 3 sentimos lang yata yon. 30 pesos.

Thirty – pesos per –

Binay: Per square meter. ..

Per square meter. Sir, kasi, Sir, I can understand, Gloria Arroyo has been trying to get you for a long time. Since 2001. Parang hinuhuli na kayo. And so I also look at what the Commission on Audit is coming out with.

 

 

from her article:

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Binay told me in 2010 he had bought – not leased – the land for his piggery

Exclusive by Raïssa Robles

Reacting to allegations raised in the Senate hearings, Vice-President Jejomar Binay says he has never owned any of the land he used for his pig farm.

This is the exact opposite of what he told me on June 29. 2010 in a one-on-one interview with him for South China Morning Post, the Hong Kong newspaper I write for.

Last Thursday, Binay even told reporters categorically:

“We do not own [the property]. We just leased a portion of it for our piggery business” JCB Farms from 1994 to 2010.

And the website of his Office of the Vice President uploaded a statement from the Vice Presidential legal counsel Martin Subido asserting the same claim:

“From 1994 to 2010, the Vice President operated a piggery business in Rosario, Batangas. This piggery business was a sole proprietorship duly reported in his SALNs and in his ITRs,” Subido said.

“The Vice President did not own any land where his piggery business was operated. Rather, he was a lessee of around nine hectares of land, with the improvements he introduced for the piggery business duly reported as ‘Leasehold Improvements’,” he added.

But in 2010 – two days before he was sworn into office as the Vice-President, Binay volunteered to me the information that he set up a “babuyan” (piggery) on around 10 hectares of land in Batangas. He said he had not inherited the land. He said he had bought the land for around 30 pesos per square meter.

Trying to reconcile what he said then with what he’s saying now,  I phoned the Vice-President’s media relations chief Joey Salgado.

Although he answered the call on his mobile, Salgado could not seem to hear me — he kept saying “hello? hello?” —  so we ended up texting each other back and forth.

I texted Joey Salgado:

Sir, is it the Vice President’s position that he never owned the land on which his pig farm was located? Thanks – raissa robles, journalist-blogger.

Salgado texted back:

Yes raissa.

I texted him again:

If this is his position, then why did he tell me in my interview with him in 2010 that he bought around 10 hectares for his piggery?

His purchase price was 30 pesos per square meter. that’s what he told me. thanks.

Salgado replied:

JCB farms has a leasehold agreement from 1994 until 2010 when he divested after his election.

I texted Salgado back to clarify this:

but he didn’t tell me leasehold. he said – binili ko.

And Salgado replied –

There is a leasehold agreement raissa.

I asked Salgado to e-mail me a copy of the leasehold agreement. I also asked him:

So what do you think the VP meant when he told me in 2010 he had bought the land on which his piggery in Batangas was located?

There was no further reply from Salgado.

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