Posts Tagged ‘noli de castro’

the 2010 Presidentiables Poll officially closed – will restart on december 1 with official list of presidentiables

November 30, 2009 118 comments

click here to vote in the newly opened polls:

for the 2010 presidentiables: gordon closes gap vs villanueva in 2010 Presidentiables Blog Poll

for the 2010 vice-presidentiables: bayani fernando dominant at 2010 Vice-Presidentiables BlogPoll widens lead further

for the 2010 senatoriables: miriam defensor santiago tops 2010 Presidentiables Blog Poll for senators

for presidentiables you WILL NOT VOTE and shoule NOT WIN: erap estrada takes dominant lead in 2010 Presidentiables Poll – the presidentiable who should not win


cast your vote –
who is your choice for president
among the presidentiables for the 2010 election?
click your choice,
then click the “vote” button to register your vote.

note that the program will allow you to vote only once.
we will be posting summaries of the poll results when major changes occur.
 click “view results” to view current count of votes.

eddie villanueva

eddie villanueva

november 7, 2009; 10pm
villanueva’s lead in this poll drops signficantly to 38% due to a surge in votes for escudero at 2nd with 20%. aquino remains at 3rd with 17%

october 23, 2009; 10pm
loren legarda was removed from the presidentiables list. villanueva continue to lead, followed by escudero, then aquino.

september 23, 2009; 7pm
villanueva  continue to lead at 43% followed by escudero and aquino who are tied at 2nd with 15%. villar follows a far 4th at 9%, then bayani at 6%

Read more…

vote in the poll – the 3 presidentiables you will NOT VOTE and MUST NOT WIN the 2010 presidential election

October 27, 2009 1 comment

we have set up the other side of presidentiables polls – the presidentiables you will NOT vote and the presidentiables who MUST NOT win the 2010 presidential election.

participate in the poll, click here:

we have either made up our minds or we are in the process of deciding which presidentiable we will vote in the 2010 elections.wawam after hours

on the other side of our brain, though, is a list of presidentiables who we know we will not vote, no matter what happens. in fact we have a list that we are convinced MUST NOT WIN the 2010 election. these are presidentiables that give us nightmares every time we think of the possibility they will win in the 2010 election. some describe the feeling that if a certain presidentiable wins, it will be time to move to a foreign country to migrate.

let us know who these presidentiables are who you think MUST NOT WIN THE 2010  ELECTION. you are allowed to vote 3 presidentiables. the program will not be allowed to cast your votes more than once.

the LAKAS-KAMPI choice – gilbert teodoro. quo vadis fernando, de castro and LAKAS-KAMPI?

September 16, 2009 Leave a comment

admin presidentiables

we have four questions. but before that –

today, the executive committee of the ruling party/administration LAKAS-KAMPI chose their standard bearer – gilbert teodoro.

the news in today’s event is not only the choice in teodoro but also the one they did not choose and the one who was not in the room when the choice was made.

of the three, teodoro is the least popular, getting only 0.2% in the last nationwide survey of Pulse Asia held in August. he is the asterisk man. in research data tables, results that get less than 0.5% are usually represented by an asterisk, the number not anymore printed as a number  takes too much space on the report and besides it is really of no consequence,

for fernando, the interesting part is to know what he will do tomorrow, now that he has not been chosen by his own party. fernando is definitely a much stronger presidentiable than teodoro.  he has the reputation of being a no-non sense man who gets things done no matter how difficult as long as it is right and for the good of the city. we admire that of fernando. we like that of him except that we get nightmares behind the fear of the philippines transforming into a pink gotham city. he is a strong willed man and the man has ambition, he will probably not stop at being rejected by his own party.

we have to give it to fernando – his own party has shunned him very early with key figures of his party giving him uncalled for negative comments but he stayed on hoping against hope itself. he has determination. unfortunately for him, his party has determination for teodoro, not him.

to me the biggest news is the man who snubbed the event – vice president noli de castro. he was supposed to be anointed one by no less than the queen herself gloria macapagal arroyo. de castro has always been independent minded and he continued to show it here – choosing not to give in to the seduction of being the anointed one.

de castro snubbing the ruling/admin part is a big loss to the party, just a tiny shake for de castro. de castro has consistently been in the top 3 or top 2 in the presidential surveys. clearly he is the king among all the admin/ruling party presidentiables. losing such a great candidate is a huge loss for the party.  what will de castro do tomorrow, that is another interesting question. whatever he does, for sure it will not be good for the ruling party/admin.

with teodoro, the asterisk man being the admin/ruling party standard bearer, we need to ask the obvious – what will happen to the them as a political party. it has not been well even before this event today.

fidel ramos has been making noise about his displeasure about the merger. he wants out. or he wants control. party members have been fidgety, nervous and anxious as it took a long time to decide on the standard bearer. the admin/ruling party reached the pits when in a desperate move, it even floated the idea of adapting manny villar as its standard bearer, an obvious desperate attempt to save itself for the obvious reason that villar is the best candidate among all of them since he has been topping the polls over many periods. asking your main competitor to be your candidate is the most stupid thing a party can do. but it did shamelessly and the answer they got from villar – NO WAY!

that leads us the last of the four questions we have. the first question was quo vadis teodoro? quo vadis fernando? quo vadis de castro? and quo vadis LAKAS-KAMPI?

aquino moves to 2nd place at 2010 Presidentiables Blog Poll

September 15, 2009 101 comments

cast your vote –
who is your choice for president
among the presidentiables for the 2010 election?
click your choice,
then click the “vote” button to register your vote.

note that the program will allow you to vote only once.
we will be posting summaries of the poll results when major changes occur.
click “view results” to view current count of votes.

poll started april 29, 2009

noynoy aquino surge in poll

september 23, 2009; 7pm
villanueva  continue to lead at 43% followed by escudero and aquino who are tied at 2nd with 15%. villar follows a far 4th at 9%, then bayani at 6%

september 15, 2009; 9am
noynoy aquino moves to 2nd at 15%, overtaking escudero who is now with 13% of the votes. villanueva continues to lead at 44% . villar is a far 4th at 9%.

september 12, 2009; 1pm
it seems noynoy aquino can’t be stopped, from nothing noynoy is now on 3rd place at an impressive 15% behind leaders villanueva now down to 32% at 1st place and right on the heels of escudero who is at a close 2nd at 17%. noynoy as of this writing has become a real threat to the leaders. this big time surge was powered by facebook citizens where we see a large army of facebook account holders came to this blog to vote. (read articles in this blog on noynoy aquino here:

read this: Memo To: Noynoy Aquino – the challenges of the noynoy aquino presidential campaign )

september 12, 2009; 7am
just 3 days since included in this poll, noynoy aquino gains a big time surge in votes, now at 9%, breaking away from the laggard’s group of presidentiables. aquino is now 5th in the standings. the surge for noynoy have been brought about by an army of  facebook account holders voting for noynoy. no changes in the rankings among the leaders.

september 9, 2009; 9pm
noynoy aquino added to the poll while ed panlilio and jejomar binay were removed. with the removal of binay, major changes in ratings but standing remain the same. villanueva continue to lead at 41%, escudero at 2nd with 19%, villar at 3rd with 13% and fernando at 4th with 11%. more changes in rankings and ratings are expected.

september 1, 2009; 8pm
mar roxas has been removed from the poll as he has withdrawn his candidacy for president. villanueva widens lead at 34% at top spot. he is followed by escudero at 17%, villar is 3rd at 12%. binay and fernando are tied at 10% on 4th/5th place.

read full history of this poll: here
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Lakas-Kampi ruling party/admin to choose between fernando and teodoro

September 14, 2009 Leave a comment

admin standard bearer

news reports have it that by wednesday,  the admin and ruling party Lakas-Kampi will announce their standard bearer for the 2010 presidential election. the choice is between gilbert teodoro and bayani fernando, both laggards in the suverys.

noli de castro a third choice seem to be out of the running as he seem to be uninterested in running as president. we don’t know if it is no interest in the presidency or no interest in running under the ruling party.

It’s either Gibo or BF for Lakas-Kampi-CMD 
By Christian V. Esguerra
Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 20:31:00 09/13/2009

MANILA, Philippines – Vice President Noli de Castro has formally informed the administration party that he will not run for president under its banner in the 2010 elections —if ever he decides to run at all, according to a source to privy to the discussions.

De Castro’s decision sets the stage for the Lakas-Kampi-CMD to name either Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro or Metropolitan Manila Development Authority Chair Bayani Fernando as its standard-bearer.

The vice president, who ran and won as an independent in 2004, broke the news to Gabriel Claudio, the party’s secretary general, in a meeting last week, said the source who requested anonymity for not having been authorized to speak to the media on the matter.

Sought for comment, Claudio, also the presidential adviser on political affairs, said on Sunday he was leaving it up to De Castro to make the official announcement about the decision.

“We had an agreement that it would come from him,” he told the Inquirer. “It was never our intention to pressure him, to put any deadline on him. The party has its own mechanisms, processes and timetable and he has always known about them.”

“If he had any intention (to run) at all, he would have given indications, not only to the party, but also to the public,” he added.

Claudio noted the apparent absence of any effort by De Castro to present himself as a presidential aspirant.

read in full here:

september – month of reckoning for presidentiables

September 8, 2009 Leave a comment

it looks like the month of september is the key month for the 2010 presidentiable elections:

  • noynoy aquino will announce his 2010 election plans.
  • it is the month when mar roxas withdrew his candidacy. mar is one of the major contenders.
  • other presidentiables will firm up their plans within the month as well.
  • the admin party says they will announce their candidate by the end of the month.
  • noli de castro will announce his 2010 election plans on september 15.
  • the admin party has given de castro 1 week to decide on his plans.
  • loren legarda might give in to chiz escudero


Lakas-Kampi to De Castro: You have 1 week
By Christian V. Esguerra, Cynthia Balana
Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 04:31:00 09/08/2009

MANILA, Philippines—Make up your mind.

Vice President Noli de Castro has exactly one week to decide whether to join the selection process for the administration party’s standard-bearer in next year’s presidential election.

read in full here:


Legarda giving way to Escudero, says solon 
 By Christine Avendaño, Gil C. Cabacungan Jr.
Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 04:51:00 09/08/2009

MANILA, Philippines—A member of the Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC) Monday said Sen. Loren Legarda was on the verge of giving way to Sen. Francis “Chiz” Escudero as the party’s standard-bearer in 2010.

Agusan del Sur Rep. Rodolfo Plaza told reporters that “Loren will give up her presidential ambition [in favor of] Chiz soon” based on ongoing talks between the camps of the two parties.

read in full here:

opposition presidentiables vow no cheating, admin presidentiables fail to vow anything

August 31, 2009 Leave a comment

pdi august 31 page 1

this is rare in philippine politics, even among the opposition. its a good photo op.  interestingly, key admin presidentiables teodoro, de castro and vice presidentiable puno were not in the group. the only admin presidentiable who was present was bayani fernando while mike velarde from the opposition was also not there.

does that mean those who did not attend plan to cheat in the 2010 elections? hello, garci you there? again?

No cheating in 2010, poll aspirants vow 
By Philip Tubeza
Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 02:06:00 08/31/2009

MANILA, Philippines—Burying their political rivalries for a moment, 13 prospective candidates for president and vice president Sunday walked arm in arm in Taguig City for clean and honest elections next year.

The aspirants—who included survey front-runners Sen. Manuel Villar, former President Joseph Estrada, and Senators Francis “Chiz” Escudero, Manuel “Mar” Roxas II, and Loren Legarda—also signed sworn statements, duly notarized, declaring that they would not cheat in the elections and would observe the rule of law if elected.

The event was also attended by Senators Francis Pangilinan, Richard Gordon, Jamby Madrigal, Metro Manila Development Authority Chair Bayani Fernando, Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay, evangelist Eduardo “Bro. Eddie” Villanueva, environmentalist Nicanor “Nikki” Perlas, and Olongapo Councilor Carlos “JC” delos Reyes of the lay Catholic political group Ang Kapatiran.

Other aspirants who were supposed to attend but did not make it to the event were Defense Secretary Gilbert “Gibo” Teodoro and Interior Secretary Ronnie Puno. They were reportedly sick. Vice President Noli de Castro was not around, either.

read in full here:

Pulse Asia august 2009 presidentiables survey – villar’s lead jump aggressively, overtakes de castro

August 25, 2009 2 comments

some points on this new poll results:

the major candidates:

  • villar catapults to top place, overtaking de castro with an impressive  gain this polling period versus  previous. he showed greatmanny-villar-jp1 strength with a significant increase of +11 pts from previous period. he  continues to  be very strong in leading across the board, in all geographic  areas and among socio-eco classes. villar is way ahead versus other presidentiables except in mindanao and the E socio-eco class where he ties estrada on the lead.
  • estrada moves up from 3rd to as he continue to show strength and is surprising to be now at second. his strengths are in mindanao and the E socio-eco class.
  • de castro from lead drops to 3rd place but is within range from estrada who is in 2nd. 
  • escudero is a strong 4th. his strongholds are NCR and the ABC socio-eco class. this can be a problem as he also needs to reach and build appeal in areas outside NCR and the poor. he needs advertising.

the “other” candidates: 

  • the other candidates need to look at this data seriously and must start some very serious  marketing and advertising efforts as soon as possible if they intend to be a contender in next year’s election.
  • or decide to bow out of the presidential race  in the coming weeks.
  • binay is just an NCR candidate as he gets a double digit rating only in NCR while in the other areas weak single digit ratings.
  • it is shocking that fernando is not making any dent at all even at NCR, his theoretical stronghold. for binay to rate better than fernando at the NCR shows just how weak fernando’s candidacy is.
  • teodoro not even getting a vote in almost all areas and socio-eco classes inspite of heavy advertising says he is totally not a factor in this election. he needs to rethink strategy or bow out of the race.
  • we are getting very close to that time when the “other” candidates will need a miracle to even have a fighting chance to win.  


The survey fieldwork was conducted from July 28 to August 10, 2009 using face-to-face interviews. Among the major developments immediately prior to and during the conduct of the interviews for this survey were the prolonged hospitalization due to terminal illness and subsequent death of President Corazon Cojuangco Aquino; the last State of the Nation Address (SONA) of President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo and her latest visit to the United States (US); the unexplained growth in the President’s wealth since assuming the presidency in 2001; the increasing number of probable presidential candidates for the May 2010 elections; the controversies surrounding the selection of two new members of the Supreme Court and this year’s National Artist awardees; and the loss of lives and destruction of infrastructure caused by two powerful typhoons. On the economic front, inflation in July fell to a twenty-two year low.


10 gov’t men spent P218M for ‘info ads’ – “shoot on sight” says senator defensor-santiago

August 25, 2009 2 comments

Ten government officials spent a whopping P218 million in public funds since last year for “infomercials” that they starred in and which Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago insisted was nothing but

senator miriam defensor-santiago

senator miriam defensor-santiago

 premature campaigning for the 2010 elections.

In a privilege speech at the Senate, Santiago called these government officials “rhinoceros” for their “greed for and abuse of public funds.”

The rhinoceros, she said, is a “powerful, herbivarous, thick-skinned perissodactyl mammal with two horns” that had become a “template for Cabinet members and other executive officials who use public funds, or gifts from so-called friends to campaign for next year’s elections.”

“They are all thick-skinned and should be shot on sight,” Santiago said.

She identified the spenders as Augusto Syjuco, chair of the Technical Education Skills Development Authority (TESDA); Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay; Vice President Noli de Castro; Philippine Amusement and Gaming Corp. chair Efraim Genuino; and Health Secretary Francisco Duque.

Also on Santiago’s list were Metropolitan Manila Development Authority (MMDA) Chair Bayani Fernando, Education Secretary Jesli Lapuz, Public Works Secretary Hermogenes Ebdane, Agrarian Reform Secretary Nasser Pangandaman, and Interior Secretary Ronaldo Puno.

Santiago also mentioned Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro Jr., who came out with infomercials (informative commercials) “paid for by friends” but which, she stressed, constituted indirect bribery.

Quoting a report submitted to her by the Commission on Audit (COA), Santiago said that the Cabinet members spent P117.7 million in infomercials for 2008-2009 and P100.4 million for this year alone, or a grand total of P218 million.

For 2008-2009, this was how they spent for infomercials:

  • Syjuco (P28.3 million), Binay (P23.4 million)
  •  De Castro (P18.1 million
  •  Genuino (P14.1 million)
  • Duque (P13.2 million)
  • Fernando (P7.4 million)
  • Lapuz (P5.7 million)
  • Ebdane (P3.8 million)
  • Pangandaman (P2.4 million)
  •  Puno (P900,000).

For this year alone, the top three spenders were

  • Binay (P23.4 million)
  • Syjuco (P22.5 million)
  • De Castro (P18.1 million).

Quoting a report submitted to her by the Commission on Audit (COA), Santiago said that the Cabinet members spent P117.7 million in infomercials for 2008-2009 and P100.4 million for this year alone, or a grand total of P218 million.


escudero at risk; de castro poised to dominate; roxas got it wrong – May 2009 Pulse Asia Presidentiables Survey

June 2, 2009 Leave a comment


we did not expect that PDI will have the results of the latest pulse asia presidentiables survey as headline on their front page.

there is a 5 way statistical tie, the results are no biggie.  the election is months away, too early to call. this kind of news  is front page material but we did not think it is headline material.

we looked at the specifics of the data and these are our conclusions:

  • escudero’s top 5 position is at risk. escudero did well in being among the top 5. he is one of the youngest among the presidentiables and all he has been doing is well, being himself – sure he delivers everything he says in near poetic pilipino in a monotone voice matched with a perpetual poker face, but i guess people are able to go beyond that and appreciate the points he makes. looking at the specifics as to where escudero got his national top 5 ranking – it comes from being dominant versus all others in the NCR and the ABC socio-eco. a significant part of the philippine electorate is among the DE socio-ecoclass and outside NCR. being strongest among others in both says his strong showing comes from the rich as most of the rich are from the NCR. the rich are vastly outnumbered by the poor. unless escudero makes efforts to appeal to the poor, his position may eventually fall.
  • de castro’s position puts him on a springboard for  dominance. de castro’s showing is strong if not leading across all areas and across all socio-eco class. that means de castro’s appeal and strength is across the board. his position in all of them are either top or a strong second. he is dominant in the E socio-eco class. having an across the board appeals means he is poised to build core supporters across all groups of voters. he is the superstar in this survey.
  • roxas explained the jump in his rating due to his “pro-poor programs”, this does not seem to be true, he may have got it wrong.the senator obviously knows the poor will be critical in this campaign, thus he put in that spin to explain his gain in the survey. looking at the specifics of the survey does not support roxas’ claim – roxas got the lowest ratings among the D and E socio-eco classes. if it was his pro-poor programs that got his ratings higher, this should have shown among the poor. (read PDI article here:

surveys can give a lot of good insights. interpreted properly, any of the presidentiables can sharpen and reshape their plans to build on their strengths or correct weaknesses.

Malacanang says Noli De Castro top admin bet – De Castro given a kiss of death?

May 10, 2009 2 comments

malacanang through it’s political adviser, gabriel claudio, said noli de castro, presidentiable is the administration’s top choice as standard bearer for the 2010 presidentianl election.

did malacanang just give de castro a kiss of death? we really like to know what de castro did after he read that from the newspaper – did he celebrate or did he cry?

Philippines Explosion

did malacanang just give noli de castro a kiss of death?

de castro has been leading the presidentiables surveys largely on the basis of being “clean”, uncontroversial and keeping 3 ten-foot poles away from arroyo, on all four sides of his body.

de castro enjoys the strength of being the incumbent VP, he is in power and with that comes benefits. he has very smartly maintained just good enough visibility compared to arroyo, which is just right given that he is a VP and yet has good enough presence. he is of course lucky he is not married to a certain mike arroyo and his children with the surname arroyo on them and that helps a lot on the no-controversy side.

we can say he enjoys good things from both sides of the political spectrum – being on the admin side and being outside of it. he is known as an independent, not really associated with arroyo and her pathetic performance ratings but not to the extreme of senators lacson and roxas who are rabid anti-arroyo forces.

malacanang now saying he is the top admin candidate may have given de castro 3 tons of mud on de castro’s face, after the kiss of death delivered on de castro’s smackers. arroyo gave the same kiss of death to the admin senatoriables in the last senatorial elections where almost all of them lost the election.

De Castro top administration bet — Palace
By Christian V. Esguerra
Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 17:10:00 05/10/2009

MANILA, Philippines — Vice President Noli De Castro is still the administration’s top choice for its standard-bearer in the 2010 presidential election, a Malacañang official said.

Gabriel Claudio, presidential political adviser, described as “highly speculative” the report that De Castro could end up joining another political party outside the administration coalition for his presidential bid.

“Definitely not—he’s still on top of the shortlist of presidential materials by the administration coalition,” he told the Philippine Daily Inquirer (parent company of on Sunday.

“The report is typical of political armchair analysis and barbershop talk,” he said.

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