pulse asia march 2010 presidentiables poll results : point of no return – an election for aquino to lose and villar to win
the results of this latest pulse asia poll, march 21 to 28, 2010 is highly consistent with the march 2010 poll of SWS for the same month – villar’s ratings dropping, aquino holding and the effect aquino the front runner is widening his lead over villar.
not much has changed for the others. teodoro continue to be stuck at 7% rating but gordon has shown improvement going to now 2% from 1%. however, with the +/- 2% pts margin of error, that means no change for gordon.
we think we have reached a point of no return for most of the presidentiables, starting from teodoro, gordon and down the rest. with lack of funds, lack of time and lack of support, these presidentiables have no luck at this election.
what we previously said stands – this election is for noynoy to lose, villar to win and estrada as the dark horse.
even on estrada, with little movement on his ratings, the dark horse label may have been lost as well. he is probably destined to join the rest.
The survey fieldwork was conducted from March 21 to 28, 2010 using face to face interviews. Prior to and during the conduct of the survey, several events grabbed the headlines and these are as follows: (1) the Supreme Court’s declaration that President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo has the authority to appoint the successor of Supreme Court Chief Justice Reynato S. Puno and the protests that followed the high court’s decision; (2) various appointments made by the President following the Supreme Court’s ruling; (3) the start of the official campaign season for the local elections; (4) election-related concerns including double registrants in the voters’ list, downgrading of security features in the ballot, and questions regarding the nominees of several party-list groups and Commission on Elections (COMELEC) Chairperson Jose A.R. Melo’s dismissal of a “failure of elections” scenario despite these and other problems; (5) the possible disqualification of several presidential candidates due to failure to abide by election laws regarding airtime limits on their campaign advertisements and placement and size of their campaign materials (e.g., billboards); (6) the expression of support for the Nacionalista Party’s (NP) presidential candidate, Senator Manuel B. Villar, Jr., by some allies of President Arroyo in Cebu; (7) reports regarding the falling-out between President Arroyo and Philippine National Police (PNP) Director General Jesus Versoza following the latter’s declaration that he will not support any attempt to extend the President’s term should there be a failure of elections in May 2010; (8) the government’s decision to retain its original growth target of 2.6% to 3.6% despite the El Niño phenomenon; and (9) continued oil price hikes.