VP Jojo Binay ratings continue to fall, a dramatic exodus of supporters
presidentiable VP Jojo Binay’s survey ratings continue to fall for a second consecutive quarter. in this Pulse Asia survey to 26% in the November 2014 survey from 31% in the previous survey, a 5% point drop. this should worry Binay and his advisers as it makes the possibility of losing the 2016 election a bigger reality.
he is still number 1 in the survey but that is practically meaningless as for surveys like these, the trend is much more important and meaningful than the actual rating for the period. the question being asked in this survey is something like “if elections were held today, who will you elect as president?”, thus the answer respondents are giving are relevant to the current time only when the survey was conducted.
the election is still in 2016, at least 5 quarters to go of surveys (surveys are conducted on a quarterly basis) and that means changes to the ratings and rankings will happen depending on developments in the country and the actions of the presidentiables. the changes will be dramatic with those initially ahead in the surveys early on dropping down, even to levels where they eventually lose the election. we saw this in the most recent presidential election in 2010 when at the start of the election period, senator Manny Villar was way ahead of everyone but eventually dropped to number 3 or 4 by election time when he was besieged with corruption charges and mismanaged its handling.
the drop in the most recent survey for Binay is an indication that the things he has been doing during the time from the previous survey to this one have not been working for Binay. Binay continued to be on a Binayfication strategy where he continue to ignore the corruption charges and allegations, refusing to directly answer them, to deny or confirm any of it and to offer evidence that prove they are false.
under the Binayfication strategy is his refusal to attend the senate hearing. the senate sub-committee that has been conducting the hearings on the over-pricing of the Makati parking building has repeatedly and in public told Binay there is an open invitation for him to attend the hearing. Binay on his part has also repeatedly refused to attend the hearings giving a lot of silly reasons. then at some point, for a reason only he and his advisers know, Binay said he will only attend the senate hearing if the mother committee in the senate invites him.
well, the mother committee through the committee chair, senator Guingona, extended an invitation to the vice president. the senate even went to the extent of assigning a date and time. and on the appointed time and date, the senate set up a table, chair, a microphone, a name plate and even a glass of water in the middle of the place where the hearings are being conducted. it was a surreal scene as the media took pictures and showed live TV footage of the empty chair. Binay demanded the mother committee give him an invitation, it did but he did not show up.
there were new and additional corruption charges and allegations made during the period. but the other telling development under the Binayfication strategy was the debate with senator Trillanes. the same thing happened here – Binay challenged senator Trillanes to a debate on the corruption issues. after a bit of time, Trillanes agreed and accepted the debate challenge. staff from both sides started to meet to discuss the debate and like the one above, a date and time was set. then, all of a sudden and something that it appears none of his staff and advisers did not know about, Binay announced he will not debate with Trillanes.
the drop in the most recent survey may be attributed to the Binayfication strategy – it is not working and it is not able to arrest the decline in the ratings of Binay. rather than helping him, Binay continue to lose supporters.
looking at the specifics of the survey results, to us the most telling and the one that should concern Binay the most are his ratings in Luzon, and among the upper class (ABC) and the lower class, D.
the drops in Binay’s ratings are across the board – all areas and all socio-eco classes. but the drop in the Luzon rating is dramatic and stands out – it is now exactly one half of what it was in march, 2014. it is a dramatic decline to 22% from 44% in march, a huge -22% point loss.
similar dramatic declines occurred among the ABC and D socio-eco class. the upper and middle class saw an even bigger degradation – dropping -30% points to now just 17% from 47%. the D saw a -16% point shrinkage to 26% from 42%. losing your base support from these groups is a nightmare for any election campaign. this is an exodus of supporters from the thinking class and the poor.
the election is still 5 quarters away, Binay can still recover with still a lot of things he can do during that time. what he wants is to do things that will reverse what may be the beginning of a declining trend. he and his advisers should realize Binayfication is not working, something else needs to be done.
question is – does Binay have the smarts, the will power and the good things in him to abandon the Binayfication strategy and pursue another strategy, like the Truth Strategy?
chief justice corona is guilty, impeached from his office
senators who voted to impeach renato corona:
- edgardo angara
- alan peter cayetabo
- pia cayetabo
- franklin drilon
- junggoy estrada
- chiz escudero
- tg guingona
- gringo honasan
- ping lacson
- lito lapid
- loren legarda
- serg osmena
- kiko pangilinan
- koko pimentel
- ralph recto
- bong revilla
- tito sotto
- antonio trillanes
- manny villar
- juan ponce enrile
final results – aquino gets 15.2M, 42.1% of votes
post your Goodbye Message To Gloria and your Hello Message To Noynoy
we are counting just days before gloria macapagal arroyo leaves office and noynoy aquino takes over. here is a place where you can tell gloria what you feel and think as she leaves the presidency and as noynoy takes office.
click here: http://goodbyegloriahellonoynoy.wordpress.com/
how a small Yellow Army helped aquino gain a landslide win
there is a popular bulletin board for pinoys in the internet with a lot members very much involved in the may 2010 elections. in that bulletin board is a small Yellow Army who mounted efforts to help noynoy aquino win this election. they were a very small group, no more than 20 members compared to their “opponents” in that bulletin board who supported other presidentiables.
the bulletin board had very active and very noisy supporters of gilbert teodoro, manny villar and richard gordon. easily, the small band of yellow army was outnumbered at least 4 to 1. with each presidentiable opponent having at least 50 to 60 members, multiply that by 4 presidentiables and we have 200 to 240 individual posters outnumbering the no more than 20 members of the yellow army.
we have started in this blog a chronicle of the exploits of that small yellow army and how they were able to stand their ground and in the end win in their efforts.
here is one juicy part — with just a few days before election day, the small group of individuals decided to organize themselves. more on this later.
click to read more: http://wp.me/Pnw03-1gA
is kris, president noynoy’s sister a liability or an asset?
no, we have not forgotten kris aquino’s stament on national tv that she will leave the country should noynoy win the presidency. (read here, and post your commments : should kris aquino make good her promise to leave the country should noynoy win the election?)
noynoy is set to be proclained president very soon. have we changed our mind on kris aquino? we did ran a poll on kris here where we asked if kris is an asset or a liability to the aquino campaign, read here : is kris aquino a liability or an asset to the noynoy aquino campaign? .
for now, we want to ask you this one:
video where kris said she will leave the country if noynoy is elected:
read other posts:
- is kris aquino a liability or an asset to the noynoy aquino campaign? <— look at the poll results here
- gary olivar, malacanang spokesperson 5 thumbs down on kris aquino’s tears, will hurt teodoro
- the kris aquino drama – to leave The Buzz TV show?
- should noynoy aquino be happy or sad that he has kris aquino as a sister?
- for the sake of the philippines – ban annabelle rama from tv and the country!
your sentiments and reactions on the 2010 election experience, voice them out here
first time that the country is conducting an automated election in its history. aside from that historic omoent, this election is also one of the most important in the country’s history.
you have gone to the polling places and casted your vote, now let us know how you feel, how the experience went and whatever your thoughts are.
tell us what you think, some leads for your to answer:
- areas of improvements
- what were the problem areas
- where were the problems
- what irritated you the most
- what went well
- what made you happy
- what are the good things
- what did you like the most
89% of count – updated partial unofficial tally for president
source: http://www.gmanews.tv/eleksyon2010/nationalcount
no question, noynoy aquino’s win in this election is a landslide win.
manny villar shows class, first to concede to aquino, others follow
we thought manny villar showed class and character in being the first to concede the election to noynoy aquino, the presidentiable who has a commanding lead in the elections. aside from the action of conceding, we thought he gave an excellent concession speech with words of encouragement to the winner, mea culpa, personal touch and words of support and reconciliation with his opponents.
to us manny villar had his ratings go up.
4 presidential bets concede defeat
INQUIRER.net, Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 11:12:00 05/11/2010MANILA, Philippines—(UPDATE 2) A day after the election, four presidential candidates conceded to Senator Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III, currently the frontrunner in the political race that saw over 40 million Filipinos vote electronically for the first time for their leaders in the national and local levels.
Senators Manuel Villar and Richard Gordon, former defense secretary Gilbert Teodoro, and JC de los Reyes of Kapatiran Party issued separate statements giving notice that they were dropping out of the contest and expressed their support for Aquino who was expected to be proclaimed the next president.
Villar and Gordon said that “the people have spoken” and congratulated Aquino on his impending victory.
“Nagpasya na ang mga mamamayang Pilipino. Malinaw na sa kabila ng ating pagpupunyagi, hindi tayo nabiyayayaan ng tagumpay sa halalan noong Lunes [The Filipino people have decided. It is clear that despite our efforts, we were not blessed to win in Monday’s elections],” Villar said, reading a prepared statement before members of the media in his headquarters at the Starmall in Mandaluyong early Tuesday.
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